A-League Tips Round 22

soccer betting A-League odds

We kick off round 22 with the top of the table Big Blue Derby as Sydney FC look to cement top spot and end the chase for the Premier’s Plate. Most notably we will again have three sides backing up following ACL commitments and after they all got rolled midweek The Wolf has again tipped them to struggle.

Match (Time AEDT) Tips
Sydney FC v Melbourne Victory
(Fri 7:50pm)
Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals ($1.65)
Value Bet: Over 3.5 goals ($2.75)
Wellington v Perth Glory
(Sat 5:35pm)
Best Bet: Perth WIN ($2.45)
Value Bet: Perth Over 2.5 goals ($4.00)
Western Sydney v Adelaide
(Sat 7:50pm)
Best Bet: Under 2.5 goals ($2.25)
Value Bet: 1st Half Result – Draw ($2.25)
Central Coast v Melbourne City
(Sun 5:00pm)
Best Bet: Over 3.5 goals ($2.30)
Value Bet: Over 4.5 goals ($4.00)
Newcastle v Brisbane
(Sun 7:00pm)
Best Bet: Newcastle WIN ($2.90)
Value Bet: Newcastle Over 2.5 goals ($5.50)

A-League Tips & Preview Round 22

Sydney FC v Melbourne Victory – (Fri 7:50pm)
The Sky Blues bounced right back after the loss the the Wanderers with a convincing win over City – a side that they had troubles with in the past. They will look to cement top spot on the ladder this week and all but end the race for the Premier’s Plate when they take on their traditional rivals, the Melbourne Victory, in the Big Blue Derby. The Victory took their time to get going against Adelaide but it was again Berisha and Rojas who stole the show. There is never any love lost between these sides when they face off and The Wolf says this one will be no different. There has been no shortage of cards in the past, both yellow and red, but the signature feature when they meet is goals! There have been 3 or more goals in 10 of the last 15 meetings with an average of 3.53 per game in that stretch. They are also the two highest scoring teams in the A-League this season with 44 goals a piece – each averaging over 2 goals per game. The Over is 5-2 in Sydney’s last 7 away games and 6-0 in the Victory’s last 6 at home. The match also features 5 of the A-League’s top scorers – Berisha leads the league with 17 while four others (Rojas, Bobo, Broaque and Ninkovic) have scored 8 or more. We’ll be building the kitty for the weekend in this one.
Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals ($1.65)
Value Bet: Over 3.5 goals ($2.75)

Wellington v Perth Glory – (Sat 5:35pm)
The Phoenix surprised everyone but The Wolf with their win at Suncorp last week and they return home where they will host an in form Perth side. The Glory are undefeated in their last 4 and it comes on the back of goals, goals and more goals. They have found the back of the net 12 times in their last 4 with multiple goals in each game. They have a great record against the Phoenix winning the last 4 between them including their last two trips across the Tasman. Perth have been able to expose teams who struggle defending speed in wide areas and the Phoenix fall right into that category. Brisbane simply didn’t have the legs to do it last week but in their 3 games prior to that they conceded a combined 11 goals with the two Sydney sides and Melbourne City ran riot on them. Perth are value to run up a score.
Best Bet: Perth WIN ($2.45)
Value Bet: Perth Over 2.5 goals ($4.00)

Western Sydney v Adelaide – (Sat 7:50pm)
History repeated itself last week as both sides suffered on the back of midweek ACL commitments. What makes this worse this week is that both sides will be making the long trip back from Asia. The travel will have a significant effect on the energy and tempo from both camps. Neither will be looking to push the pace early so don’t expect to see any early goals. Just one of the last 11 meetings between them has had more than 3 goals and the Wanderers have scored just a single goal in their last four games across all competitions. Santalab has proved to be their only source of goals which makes them one of the easiest sides to close down. They are in fact the two worst attacking sides in the A-League and with rain expected in Sydney over the weekend The Wolf is shocked to see the price we are getting for the Unders!
Best Bet: Under 2.5 goals ($2.25)
Value Bet: 1st Half Result – Draw ($2.25)

Central Coast v Melbourne City – (Sun 5:00pm)
City’s inconsistencies were again on full display last week in a disappointing home loss to the league leaders. They have now failed to win back to back matches in the A-League since October – a remarkable stat for a side that sits in 4th spot. They will also be without Muscat for this one after he was sent off for a second booking and take on a Mariners side that has lost just 1 of its last 5. Central Coast have been defending stoutly over the last month but more importantly they have been able to find some sort of flow going forward. We have seen them create more and more chances as the season has progressed with Ferreira and O’Donovan forming a very effective combination. That being said if there is one team that relies more on its attack than anything else it is City. Clean sheets are unheard of with them and they have scored multiple goals without winning several times this season. The last 5 meetings have produces at least 3 goals with an average of well over four per game in that stretch. The Wolf says we could see a handful in this one.
Best Bet: Over 3.5 goals ($2.30)
Value Bet: Over 4.5 goals ($4.00)

Newcastle v Brisbane – (Sun 7:00pm)
The ACL has been a constant curve ball for A-League sides and the Roar are no exception. They drew away to City following their first ACL match this season and lost at home to the Phoenix last week after hosting Muang Thong just days before. They will have an even more difficult time this week as they are away in both matches. The trip to Ulsan in Korea is never an easy one and the Roar will have little time to gear up for the trip to Newcastle. In addition, they have a poor recent record against them with the Jets doing the double over them so far this season: 4-0 in Newcastle and 3-2 at Suncorp. With Brisbane winning just one of their last 5 against Newcastle and having to deal with significant travel, The Wolf has made the Jets the upset of the week.
Best Bet: Newcastle WIN ($2.90)
Value Bet: Newcastle Over 2.5 goals ($5.50)

Best Bets Round 22

Best Bet: WSW v Adelaide – Under 2.5 goals ($2.25)
Value Bet: Perth Over 2.5 goals ($4.00)

Results

Best Bets
Round 21: 1-4
Round 21 ROI: 50%
Overall: 48-56
Overall ROI: 90.37%

Value Bets
Round 21: 2-3
Round 21 ROI: 136%
Overall: 25-79
Overall ROI: 74.02%

All Bets
Overall ROI: 81.41%