A-League Tips Round 19

Sydney FC took full advantage when the Victory were relegated to 10 men in the Big Blue and their lead at the top is back out to 7 points. They kick things off in Round 19 at home to Wellington with the Jets to host the Victory in the match of the round on Saturday. Full A-League preview and tips.

A-League Tips & Preview Round 19

Sydney FC v Wellington – (Fri 7:50pm)
The Sky Blues extended their unbeaten run against Melbourne Victory with a come from behind win. This week they host another side that they have had the wood over in recent seasons. Sydney are undefeated in their last 5 against the Phoenix (4 wins and a draw) and will be looking to sweep the season series following wins in each of the first two meetings. The Bobo goal scoring streak looks set to continue… He leads the A-League with 18 goals this season and has scored 7 goals in his last 4 against Wellington. There sides have produced 17 goals in the last 4 meetings and the goals will continue to flow, especially from the side wearing blue. Last weeks clash with the Victory was about setting the lines and playing a controlled game – this week we will see the opposite with Sydney to be relentless in attack.
Best Bet: HT/FT – Sydney FC/Sydney FC ($1.75)
Value Bet: Sydney Over 3.5 goals ($4.00)

Newcastle v Melbourne Victory – (Fri 5:30pm)
It has been a week full of bad news for the Victory. They went down to arch rivals Sydney after taking the lead and will be without Geria who was sent from the field. It doesn’t end with club captain Mark Milligan departing for Saudi Arabia. His move to Al-Ahli leaves a big hole to fill in the middle of the park with Terry Antonis tipped to get the start. The calm head, experience and ball winning ability of Milligan will be sorely missed. Troisi is likely to step back into a deeper role alongside Valeri but they are likely to be more vulnerable on the counter. It won’t take us ling to see if that is the case as the Jets are one of, if not the most effective side on the counter. The Jets have scored multiple goals in 7 of their last 8 matches and remain the only side to have scored in all 18 matches this season. The home side has won 4 of the last 5 and The Wolf likes the Jets to get the job done against a Victory side that will need to make significant adjustments in the coming weeks.
Best Bet: Newcastle Over 1.5 goals ($2.15)
Value Bet: Newcastle WIN ($2.50)

Adelaide v Perth – (Sat 7:45pm)
The Reds 5-0 loss to City was simply a glitch in the system. Outside of that they have conceded just 1 other goal in a 5 game stretch and they continue to show tremendous fight and team unity. Scoring continues to be their biggest issue but a single goal from Blackwood was enough to earn all 3 points in Wellington last week. They have now scored more than once in only 1 of their last 8 and The Wolf says they will again be relying on their defence when they host the Glory. Perth may have ended a 5 game losing streak with a win over the Wanderers but they will have to wait to build on that result. They have lost 8 of their last 11 away games in the A-League and have conceded a mammoth 12 goals across their last 3 trips. Adelaide will post back to back wins for just the second time this season.
Best Bet: Adelaide WIN ($1.77)
Value Bet: Teams To Score – Adelaide Only ($3.20)

Central Coast v Western Sydney – (Sun 5:00pm)
Over the years the Mariners and Wanderers have hardly put on a show. There have been less than 3 goals in 14 of the last 19 encounters with a team managing more than two goals just twice! They are the two lowest scoring sides in the A-League this season with just 18 goals each. The Mariners are yet to find the back of the net more than twice this season while the Wanderers have been held scoreless in 5 of their last 11. The Wanderers attack lacks any sort of flow at the moment while sides have put a lid on Mariners star Daniel Da Silva. The Mariners will be without hard man Brama who was sent for a sickening late challenge in the loss to the Roar. The Wolf will be shocked if we see more than two goals and says a solitary goal may be enough for maximum points.
Best Bet: Under 2.5 goals ($1.95)
Value Bet: Correct Score Western Sydney 1-0 ($10.00)

Brisbane v Melbourne City – (Sun 7:00pm)
City extended their unbeaten run to 5 games but goals look set to dry up temporarily with McCormack returning to parent side Aston Villa. The Scottsman netted 15 of the sides 28 goals this season but the hefty loan fee was apparently too much to ask for. Fornaroli will be back sooner rather than later but until then The Wolf says they will do well to put pressure on opposing defences. It leaves the door open for the Roar to register a 3rd straight win. Holman has proved to be a real threat in recent weeks, striking combinations with both McKay and Maccarone. The experience of North and Papadopoulos will allow the Roar to build from the back and they should be able to shut down a City attack missing it’s best weapon.
Best Bet: Brisbane WIN ($2.90)
Value Bet: HT/FT – Brisbane/Brisbane ($4.75)

Best Bets Round 19

Best Bet: CCM v WSW – Under 2.5 goals ($1.95)
Value Bet: Newcastle WIN ($2.50)

Results

Best Bets
Round 18: 2-3
Round 18 ROI: 66.20%
Overall: 38-50
Overall ROI: 85.18%

Value Bets
Round 18: 1-4
Round 18 ROI: 60%
Overall: 17-71
Overall ROI: 65.08%

All Bets
Overall ROI: 75.13%

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