A-League Tips Round 13

The A-League ladder continues to stretch with Sydney FC and Newcastle extending the gap back to the rest of the competition. The Jets will be tested away to Melbourne Victory while the Sky Blues look to make it 7 wins in a row against the Glory.

A-League Tips & Preview Round 13

Melbourne Victory v Newcastle – (Fri 7:50pm)
With every week that passes the Jets are looking more and more like the biggest threat to runaway leaders Sydney FC. They have won 4 of their last 5 and continue to be the A-League’s highest scoring team. They seem to have adjusted to the absence of O’Donovan with Nabbout playing as the pivot and Petratos in behind. The Wolf originally had concerns with shifting the duo into the middle but Hoffman and Champness have been outstanding out wide. The Victory were bailed out last week when a injury time penalty to handed them all 3 points in the Melbourne Derby but there still seems to be something amiss with Kevin Muscat’s side. Newcastle put 4 past the Victory when they met earlier this season in a match which saw Milligan sent from the field in the 1st half. Goals are on the cards again with the Over going 11-1 in Jets matches this season and 4-1 in Melbourne’s last 5. The Jets have score in each of their 5 away games this season with multiple goals in 4 of them. In a match where goals are expected the Jets also look value for the road win.
Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals ($1.72)
Value Bet: Newcastle WIN ($3.40)

Adelaide v Brisbane – (Sat 5:35pm)
The Reds are slowly getting bodies back on deck and have climbed to 4th – largely thanks to some determined defending. Lia and Adlung have done a stellar job controlling the centre of the park and they have conceded multiple goals in just 1 of their last 5 A-League matches. On the flip-side the Roar have scored more than once in just 2 of their last 8 and in just 1 of their last 6 against Adelaide. The Reds have 3 wins and a draw from their last 4 at home to the Roar and The Wolf has them maintaining that unbeaten streak. With two of the lowest scoring sides locking horns there will not be more than a single goal in it according to The Wolf. Adelaide to make it back to back 1-0 wins.
Best Bet: Adelaide WIN ($1.95)
Value Bet: Teams To Score – Adelaide Only ($3.40)

Sydney FC v Perth – (Sat 7:50pm)
Following their record breaking season in 2016/17 it’s hard to think that Sydney could have improved but they have done exactly that! The real test for them will begin in February when their ACL commitments begin but until then there will be no slowing them down. They have won their last 6 scoring 18 and conceding just 4 in that stretch. The front quartet of Mierzejewski, Ninkovic, Brosque and Bobo were unstoppable last week and Perth will have no answer for them. Sydney have won the last 6 A-League meetings between the two sides, scoring 3 or more in 5 of those matches. Sydney never looked threatened in a 2-0 win when they met earlier in the season and will again dominate.
Best Bet: HT/FT – Sydney/Sydney ($2.00)
Value Bet: Sydney FC Over 3.5 goals ($4.50)

Central Coast v Wellington – (Sun 7:00pm)
The Mariners crashed to their 3rd straight loss last week and have now failed to score in almost 300 minutes of football. In fact these sides have combined for just a single goal over the last 3 weeks meaning we are unlikely to see the ball being picked up out of the back of the net with any sort of regularity. The Under is 7-2 in the Mariners last 9 including 5-0 in their last 5 at home. In addition Wellington have failed to find the back of their net in each of their last 4 away games. It’s a recipe for a low scoring affair and a single goal from either side is likely to result in 3 points.
Best Bet: Under 2.5 goals ($2.15)
Value Bet: Correct Score Central Coast 1-0 ($8.50)

Western Sydney v Melbourne City – (Mon 7:50pm)
Despite winning just 2 of their last 8 league game Melbourne City have managed to hold on to 3rd spot on the ladder. None of the teams below them have been able to gather any momentum and that includes the Wanderers who have lost 4 of their last 5. The Wanderers failed to score in each of those 4 losses and outside of a upset win over the Mariners have looked abysmal. They are a side lacking confidence and we have seen them fall apart at the back multiple times in recent weeks. They conceded 5 in the Sydney Derby and the Jets put 4 past them last week. City are a superior side to the Wanderers in terms of defence and The Wolf says that’s where it will be won.
Best Bet: Under 2.5 goals ($1.90)
Value Bet: Teams To Score – Melbourne City Only ($4.20)

Best Bets Round 13

Best Bet: HT/FT – Sydney/Sydney ($2.00)
Value Bet: Teams To Score – Adelaide Only ($3.40)

Results

Best Bets
Round 12: 3-2
Round 12 ROI: 103.2%
Overall: 27-32
Overall ROI: 90.84%

Value Bets
Round 12: 1-4
Round 12 ROI: 68%
Overall: 10-49
Overall ROI: 60%

All Bets
Overall ROI: 75.38%

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