Wolf’s Racing Guide – Saturday 2 September


Wolf’s Best

Swampland (Caulfield Race 2, No. 11)

Unbeaten in her last three starts, this looks her race to lose.

Last start she powered away from Samovare; who the Hayes/Dabernig Camp have a very large opinion of over 1400m at Flemington.

This appears to be a very good guide going into this and her unbeaten run of three wins is impossible to fault.

She’ll be looking for win number four in a row here and The Wolf is confident that with a quiet ride from Symons, she’ll take a power of beating.

Recommended Bet: Price Pump from $4.20 – $4.80.

Double Down: Expect her to settle at the rear of the field.

Confidence Level: 

Circuit Bets

Super Ex (Randwick Race 1, No. 6)

Lightly raced colt by Excites who is looking for win number three on the trot.

He’s stepped up and improved with each career start and off his two and a half length thrashing at Canterbury he looks well placed to win here.

This is his toughest test to date, but he’s been handed all the favours with barrier 2 and a senior rider in Hugh Bowman taking the reins.

The Wolf is confident he’ll be able to explode away with the powerful turn of foot he has previously shown he is capable of.

Double Down: Want him on the speed.

Confidence Level: 

Spieth (Randwick Race 5, No. 3)

Multiple Group 1 placegetter who resumes here off a dominant trial win.

His first up record on paper reads for 4:1-2-0, these performances hold plenty of merit as he’s previously resumed in a Group 2, Listed Race and Group 1.

He’s trialled very well leading into this and his first up placing in the Lightning Stakes is the right form to be winning here.

He’s a genuine Group 1 sprinter who will enjoy a slight drop in class here and The Wolf is confident that he’ll be winning here.

Double Down: Want him either in the lead or on the speed.

Confidence Level: 

Le Romain (Caulfield Race 7, No. 2)

Multiple Group 1 winner who comes down with Sydney Form in search of Melbourne riches.

He’s a tough middle distance galloper who will absolutely eat up the 1400m and a repeat of his performance when beating Chautauqua in the Group 1 Canterbury Stakes, reads very well for this.

He’s had a trial since to keep him ticking over and with a second up record of 4:2-2-0, he looks the one to beat.

He is 1/1 when travelling in the Melbourne direction, which only enhances The Wolf’s confidence.

Double Down: Want him settled midfield.
Confidence Level: 

Tally (Caulfield Race 8, No. 2)

Mornington cup winner from Godolphin who resumed over an unsuitable distance to finish second.

He gets out to 1700m here which is much better and if he can repeat his run in the Peter Young Stakes of last prep he’ll take beating.

He finished alongside the likes of Jameka, The United States, Humidor and Our Ivanhowe; all of which went on to bigger and better things.

He’s the fit horse going into the race and The Wolf is confident that with a positive ride from Craig Williams, he’s the one to beat.

Double Down: Expect he’ll sit forward in the running.

Confidence Level: 

Bolters

Free Standing (Randwick Race 9, No. 12)

Country Championships winner who has had two runs this prep and looks primed to run a big race third up here.

He’s unbeaten at Randwick, and over 1400m he has only missed the placings once.

He had excuses last time out, travelling three wide the trip and simply running out of gas in the concluding stages.

Race-favourite Washington Heights will be hard to beat, but outside of him the race is wide open and at $51.00/$11.00; Free Standing appeals on the each way basis.

Double Down: Expect he’ll sit forward in the running.

Confidence Level: 

Great Esteem (Caulfield Race 9, No. 5)

Group 1 placed front runner from the Stuart Webb Yard who resumes here first up.

He resumes here over 1400m which is probably too short for him, but in a race that appears devoid of any speed he could pinch this.

He’s drawn barrier 5 here which is crucial for his racing pattern, especially in a monster 20 horse field.

He’s had a few jump outs in preparation and The Wolf suspects that with his racing pattern and prolific front running rider in Katelyn Mallyon engaged, that he could prove tough to run down at $31.00/$8.50.

Double Down: Want him in the lead.

Confidence Level: 

Quaddies
Caulfield

2, 4, 7, 8 / 2, 5, 8 / 3, 5, 6, 9 / 2, 5, 13

Randwick

1, 5, 6 / 1, 11 / 1, 2, 6, 7 / 7, 10, 12

Read The Wolf’s Memsie Stakes Runner By Runner analysis here.