Wolf’s Racing Guide – Saturday 12 August


Wolf’s Best

Rocket Tommy (Flemington Race 9, No. 7)

Speedy gelding that stamped himself as straight specialist winning twice in a row up the Flemington straight last prep.

He’s 2/3 first up and with a senior rider in Damien Oliver taking the reins you can be assured he’s ready to fire first up.

He’s unbeaten over this course and distance and there’s nothing to suggest he won’t be wound up enough to win this.

The Wolf is confident he’ll remain unbeaten at this track and he expects him to further stake his claims as a serious spring contender up the time honoured Flemington straight.

Recommended Bet: Price Pump from $5.50 – $6.00.

Double Down: Expect himself on the speed.
Confidence Level: 

Circuit Bets

Vaucluse Bay (Rosehill Race 2, No. 1)

Destroyed his opponents by four lengths last start and with even luck should be doing the same again.

He’s chasing his third straight win and appears to be improving with each start this prep.

Two starts ago he beat ran down Arbeitsam, who has since gone on to frank the form over 1400m.

He rises 6.5kgs but drops sharply in grade for this and with clear running room will take a power of beating.

Double Down: Want him settled midfield.

Confidence Level: 

Arbeitsam (Rosehill Race 3, No. 3)

If Vaucluse Bay goes on top then so does the horse he narrowly beat, Arbeitsam.

This horse is airborne at present; he’s won two of his last three starts and has proven to be bomb proof dropping back from 1800m to 1400m.

He’ll do the same as always in leading here and with 53kg and Barrier 3, anyone else in the field would be mad to take him on upfront.

The Wolf is confident this son of Snitzel will be posting back to back wins here.

Double Down: Want Tommy Berry going to an uncontested lead.

Confidence Level: 

The Pharoah (Rosehill Race 5, No. 7)

Narrowly beaten last start by Arbeitsam and gets an excellent chance to score here for a well deserved win.

He’s honest as the day is long, having placed second in four of his six career starts.

He ran into Arbeitsam last time out and couldn’t reel him in.

The other fancied runner in this is resuming from a lengthy spell and The Wolf suspects with Arbeitsam’s residual fitness and soft barrier draw; he is definitely the one to beat.

Double Down: Expect he’ll sit forward in the running.

Confidence Level: 

Bolters

Kingsguard (Rosehill Race 7, No. 10)

Gelding that likes to give his opponents something to catch and with a break turning for home can prove tough to run down.

Two starts ago he led from the get go and was never headed from there.

He carried 59.5kg to victory that day and proved far too strong for his opponents.

He drops back down to 53kg here and with barrier 1 should have no problem finding a soft lead.

He’ll give them something to catch and at $12.00/$3.00 represents excellent each way value.

Double Down: Want him getting to an uncontested lead.

Confidence Level: 

Bling Dynasty (Flemington Race 8, No. 2)

Veteran gelding that closed well last start from the rear to be narrowly beaten over 1700m.

He steps up to a suitable distance here in 2000m; where his stats read 5: 2-2-0 which is simply outstanding.

He runs in to the Lloyd Williams trained Crocodile Rock who looks ever so talented, but The Wolf suspects with the three runs under his belt and the rise in distance, that Bling Dynasty is the value runner of the race.

Double Down: Will settle worse than midfield and run home from out wide.

Confidence Level: 
Quaddies

Flemington

3, 6, 7, 19 / 1, 5, 7, 10 / 1, 2, 4, 5 / 1, 2, 7, 9

Rosehill

2, 3, 4 / 3, 4, 7, 10 / 6, 8, 9 / 4, 8, 10