Wolf’s Racing Guide – New Year’s Day


Wolf’s Best

Willi Willi (Flemington Race 2, No.4)

Willi Willi ran a terrific race first up in a very strong race and gets his chance to break through second up at Flemington.

The winner of three races from seven career starts, his biggest career win came at this track in July when he claimed the Silver Bowl Final over a mile.

His first up effort in the Vobis Gold Bullion behind Amadeus was terrific racing out of his grade, this race is much easier but he has the benefit of a drop in weight.

Willi Willi’s racing pattern is to get back, but he has a terrific turn of foot on his day and if Beau Mertens gets the slightest bit of luck he will be very hard to beat.

Confidence Level: 

Circuit Bets

Flippant (Flemington Race 6, No.3)

Flippant’s recent barrier trial at Gosford suggests she is back to her brilliant best and she can record another win down the Flemington straight in a very weak Group 3 race.

From the Peter and Paul Snowden stable, she won at this track and distance during the 2016 Cup Carnival, and while she hasn’t won since, she has placed behind horses like In Her Time and Calanda.

From barrier 10 Mark Zahra will give her every chance on the outside of the track which is where most winners down the straight tend to come.

Confidence Level: 

 

Trap For Fools (Ascot Race 8, No.3)

Having won his last six races in a row, and eight from his last nine, Trap For Fools is a winning machine, and he can claim his biggest win in the time honoured Perth Cup.

Trained by the renowned trainer of stayers Lindsey Smith, he typically leads all the way in the races but has outstanding stamina – just see his last run where he looked vulnerable at the 200m but just kept finding.

With the major threats in this race being risks at the trip, and having to carry considerably more weight than him, there is no reason Trap For Fools can’t make it seven in a row in the Cup.

Confidence Level: 

Bolter

Anemoi (Flemington Race 7, No.12)

Anemoi ran second in this race last year and looked like a stayer of great promise – while he is yet to fulfill that promise, there is good reason to think he can improve significantly today.

At his last start he finished fifth in the Pakenham Cup, a race which if anything is stronger than this, and prior to that he was carrying big weights (when fifth at Sandown) or chasing in-form horses (like Instrumentalist in the Mortlake Cup). Furthermore, his sectionals at Pakenham were outstanding – he just got too far back.

He reserves his best for big wide open tracks and he certainly gets that here – $26 with William Hill at time of writing,, The Wolf would be far from surprised to see him figuring in the business end of proceedings.

Confidence Level: 

Quaddies

Flemington

2,4,6,9 / 3,9,11 / 2,7,9,12 / 6,8,13,14,16

Randwick

1,2 / 2,3,4 / 2,4,5,8 / 3,8,9,11