Coolmore Stud Stakes – Runner By Runner

Horse betting

The Wolf’s runner by runner guide on the Group One Coolmore Stud Stakes at Flemington.

Capitalist ($11)
Already has over $3.5m in the bank courtesy of his Golden Slipper and Magic Millions wins but a Group One win as a three-year-old would make him an extremely valuable colt. He dodged the Manikato Stakes last Friday night due to the deteriorating track as he is hopeless in the wet. He was left with no excuses against Russian Revolution and Astern in the Roman Consul though. Think that’s a fair measure of where he sits in the pecking order.

Extreme Choice ($3)
He was brilliant winning the Moir Stakes first-up against the older horses. It was a monster win. Throughout his career he has run time too. Like most of these here, he is untried down the straight. In his jumpout last Friday he looked to handle it no trouble at all though. He’ll likely tag Russian Revolution who looks the likely leader. He’ll look the winner at some point – it’s just whether he can hold off Star Turn and Astern. One big tick is that he hasn’t had to peak twice like the Sydney colts.

Astern ($3.80)
Has been a revelation as a three-year-old. Was a brilliant winner of the Golden Rose before  being freshened up to tackle the Roman Consul and then the Coolmore. He went down at $1.40 in the Roman Consul but it was impossible for him to win given the soft lead Russian Revolution got. He ran his last 600m in 32.29s! Can’t do any more than that. Loved his jumpout just smoking the pipe in behind. Like the wide draw too as he’ll get the drop on his key rivals.

Flying Artie ($12)
Kicked off his spring with a sound win at Caulfield after suffering a serious injury as a late two-year-old. He’s bound to take a stack of improvement from that effort but he’ll need to improve lengths and lengths to match it with the big guns. Mick Price has always maintained that there isn’t much between him and Extreme Choice and he is a very astute judge. Still, it’s hard to have him improving as much as he needs to in the space of two weeks.

Star Turn ($4.40)
There was nothing between him and Astern in the Run To The Rose. Many have been critical of Tommy Berry’s ride there as he waited too long to pull the trigger and in the end it cost him the small margin. Since then he has smashed the older horses and Malaguerra, who ran a distant second, is no mug. Dwayne Dunn gets aboard here making it his third jockey in as many starts. That’s never ideal. Perhaps a wider draw would’ve suited too. Hard to knock him otherwise.

Russian Revolution ($11)
Has won four from four and is the ultimate professional. Controlled the race from the outset in the Roman Consul and pinched enough of a break to hold off Astern. He’ll be a sitting duck down the straight six but you can’t underestimate him. Especially after seeing him match it with Extreme Choice and Astern in his Flemington jumpout. Deserves his spot.

Saracino ($31)
Made a big impression on his Aussie debut beating Archives before having excuses in the Guineas Prelude and the Guineas. Think that Archives form line gives the best line as to where he sits. The drop back from the mile to 1200m is a massive ask too. Can’t win.

Archives ($41)
Was on a Guineas path before it all went pear shaped in the Prelude. Despite looking like a miler, he didn’t get 1400m. That saw John O’Shea change tack and freshen him up for the Red Anchor at Moonee Valley. He got the job done but it was hardly a convincing win against the C-graders. He’s a big loping galloper who should appreciate the straight but can’t see him figuring.

Derryn ($34)
Motored home to win brilliantly fresh over 1000m but nothing much has gone right since. Was wide the trip in the Golden Rose before boxing on solidly at Caulfield behind Flying Artie last start. He was the best of the closers but it wasn’t enough to charge into him in the Coolmore.

Manolo Blahniq ($71)
There where whispers about this horse before he kicked off his spring but this NZ import hasn’t lived up to the hype. He couldn’t keep up in Sydney. He was much better in the Blue Sapphire behind Flying Artie, finishing his race off nicely but staying at 1200m doesn’t seem ideal. Looks to want a mile to The Wolf’s eye.

The Wolf’s Top 5

1. Astern
2. Extreme Choice
3. Star Turn
4. Russian Revolution
5. Flying Artie

Odds as of 11am Thursday, October 27.

Bet on the latest Coolmore Stud Stakes market.