Wolf’s Racing Guide – Saturday, 9 December

Wolf’s Best

Black Heart Bart (Ascot Race 8, No.1)

Black Heart Bart just missed in the Railway Stakes but meeting a very similar field at weight for age in the Kingston Town, he should be too good for them this time.

His Railway performance under the topweight was simply outstanding, the leader simply had too soft a lead up front with a light weight, that won’t happen again.

At weight for age, the tempo again might be slow but he will have sufficient early speed to hold his position from the inside draw, meaning he can get the perfect run into the race.

The 1800m holds no fears, having won an Underwood Stakes over this trip last year. Bart fully deserves the coveted five chip rating The Wolf has given him.

Recommended Bet: Black Heart Bart to WIN.

Confidence Level: 

Circuit Bets

Heliosphere (Rosehill Race 2, No.2)

Heliosphere returned with a terrific first up placing over 1200m and looks primed to go one better today over what is a much more suitable trip for him.

As a two year old he debuted over 1400m, before stepping up to a mile and winning at Warwick Farm. The fact trainer Gerald Ryan elected to start him over a shorter trip this time in ts a big positive, and he certainly hit the line nicely over that shorter trip. The winner of that race, Pretty Fast, then came out at Doomben last week and won in Listed grade by a huge margin.

Kerrin McEvoy will have to work out a strategy from the wide draw but he does have tactical flexibility – Heliosphere won at two leading all the way, but he has run well coming from behind as well.

Confidence Level: 

Singing (Doomben Race 6, No.6)

A quick glance at Singing’s recent form doesn’t inspire confidence but scratch the surface and he looks extremely hard to beat in this Class 6 Plate.

Because of the weight conditions he has to carry only 56Kg, if this were a true handicap based on the official ratings, he would be giving every runner in this field at least eight kilograms.

His last couple of runs actually haven’t been too bad, especially his Wyong Cup run where he only got beaten just over three lengths. Although Singing comes into this race off a 42 day break, he has raced effectively fresh before and no doubt Kris Lees will have targeted him here knowing the favourable treatment he would receive at the weights.

Expect Craig Newitt to fire him to the front from the wide draw and take plenty of running down.

Confidence Level: 

Jungle Edge (Pakenham Race 5, No.1)

The Wolf was looking for reasons that Jungle Edge couldn’t win again but he came up empty. The warhorse should be too good again.

If he was trained by Weir or Hayes, he would be likely be odds on but because it is Mick Bell – who has done a magnificent job with him – he is a backable price.

Georgie Cartwright will take him straight to the front here and with not much other speed engaged and fairly moderate opposition, he should get the job done again.

Confidence Level: 

Zumbelina (Doomben Race 7, No.4)

Chris Waller has sent this promising mare in search of some black type in this race and she looks to have a great opportunity to break through at stakes level.

She was backed off the map last start at Rosehill but the tempo worked against her – she got well back in the field and nothing was able to make ground.

Even though this race is run at Listed grade, realistically it looks weaker than what she ran in last start and she gets a nice weight drop.

Expect Michael Cahill to sit about midfield and with plenty of speed engaged, to run over her rivals late.
Confidence Level: 

Bolter

Magnus Knight (Morphettville Race 7, No.10)

It’s not often that you get to tip a horse trying to win his fourth in a row at $26 but this is the circumstance in which The Wolf finds himself today.

This gelding has been absolutely flying of late, winning three straight all in very comfortable fashion, the first at Gawler then two on the Parks track.

Sure, this is a considerable jump in class but on the limit weight and with the ideal draw, not to mention the fact that his trainer Ryan Balfour is on fire, he can run a big race at big odds.

Recommended Bet: Magnus Knight EACH WAY.

Confidence Level: 

Quaddies

Pakenham

8,9,11 / 1, 2, 3 / 1,3,4,6,7,8,9,12 / 1,5,7,8,9,11

Rosehill

1,2,7,9, / 3,12,13 / 6,9,11,14,15 / 1,5,8,13,14