Runner By Runner – National Sprint & Distance Final

National Sprint Final – 520m
1. On Fire ($6.00)

Trialled very quickly in preparation for this running a smart 29.89, but meets a significantly harder field than what he races against in Adelaide. His best chance is to jump and lead on the rails, if he finds himself missing the start or is headed on the turn he’ll struggle to keep up with the pace outside of him. Tricky draw if he is slow out, happy to risk.

2. Gunnadoo Rev ($9.50)

Well suited drawn in box 2 and if he begins as he did two starts ago he’ll be in front turning down the back straight, whether he can hold out some of the others in the field remains to be seen, however The Wolf is keen to include him in the exotics.

3. Jury ($4.00)

Rarely runs a bad race and ran a personal best of 29.75 last time out. The draw is tricky but if he is able to find the rail he’ll give them something to run down. He is the best of the locals and his race experience at Albion Park holds him in very good stead for this. He’ll make a race of this and with a clear break down the back straight he’ll give them something to chase.

4. Max Profit ($9.00)

Winner of his last three in smart time when leading from go to whoa. He must be respected off those three runs, however he’s drawn tricky here in the middle and if he isn’t quick out he’ll find it very difficult.

5. Bekin Street ($23.00)

Slow beginner who will struggle in the squeeze box, especially with the amount of pace outside of him. He trialled in preparation for this in 30.43 and that is just not quick enough to be competitive here. Happy to risk.

6. Gold Lenny ($71.00)

Tasmanian who bolted in at 50-1 to make the final. He ran a quick time of 29.78 that night but a repeat of that performance looks unlikely as his form is very patchy. Very unlikely he wins here.

7. Bewildering ($4.40)

Ultra-talented Victorian who is usually slow out of the boxes early. This will be costly for him here and unless he gets the dream run it’ll prove all too hard from the rear on a tight turning Albion Park. He’ll make up ground but his racing pattern is frustrating and you can’t be giving away a big enough lead against this field.

8. Aston Dee Bee ($2.65)

Won his Semi Final in a speedy time of 29.17 at Sandown Park and off that run it looks his race to lose. The draw makes things tricky, but if he is quick out early he’s the one they’ll have to run down. He opened $3.10 in early betting and the Punters confidence has shown, with his price being wound into $2.65. Trust the kennel has him cherry ripe to go here. Top pick.

Reserves
9. Opal Nera ($7.00)

He’s been racing well and if he is to make the field he’ll give it a shake, but a scratching looks very unlikely at this stage.

10. Slick ($26.00)

Useful Greyhound but The Wolf doubts he is up to this level.

The Wolf’s Top 5

1. Aston Dee Bee
2. Jury
3. Gunnadoo Rev
4. Bewildering
5. On Fire

National Distance Final – 720m
1. Fanta Bale ($2.60)

Superstar who recently won the Gold Cup over this course and distance. She’s won an astonishing four Group 1’s and is unbeaten over this course and distance. Last start she flew out to lead only to be headed late in the race to finish fourth. Burn One Down got her that day, but she’s since had a 20 day break and if she makes her own luck up front she’ll prove awfully hard to run down. Top pick.

2. Bogie Bekim ($17.00)

Adelaide stayer who has run some very good performances across his career. Four starts back he was well beaten in a heat of the Sandown Cup by Dundee Osprey, he was very slow out that day and if repeats that here he’ll be beaten for pace. Happy to risk.

3. Ebby Ripper ($10.00)

Notorious back marker who last start flew out to lead, she’s never done that in her life and if she wants to win against a field of this calibre she’ll need to do the same again. On the basis of last start being a one off, The Wolf is happy to risk her, however she must be included in exotics.

4. Ramifications ($23.00)

Tricky draw and most likely to be beaten for pace early by those inside of him. He’ll struggle here from squeeze box.

5. Shima Sun ($126.00)

Stranger things have happened in racing but this does look a bridge too far for the Tasmanian. Draw doesn’t help. Happy to take on.

6. Big Easy Red ($11.00)

Track specialist who has only missed the top three at Albion Park over 710m once out of 13 career starts. He’s has honest as the day is long and The Wolf is expecting another big performance from him. One for the exotics.

7. Burn One Down ($2.50)

Superstar Stayer who regularly puts in breathtaking performances when coming from the clouds to win. He’ll do that again here however there is pace drawn directly outside of him, so he’ll want to be slow as to avoid a collision. He’ll be coming hard from the rear but there will be a lot of traffic in front of him. He’ll need to be at his very best to win here.

8. Outside Pass ($4.00)

This Greyhound is airborne at present and if he flies out of the boxes could give this race a shake. He’s only had two starts over the 710m and looks a real wildcard here. He’ll need a lot of luck from out wide but if he can get clear running into the back straight has a very good chance of running the leaders down. His track experience holds him in good stead for this and The Wolf is expecting a very big run. History is against him as no Queenslander has taken home the Distance title since 1999.

Reserves
9. Jalapeno ($14.00)

Ran very honestly last start but a scratching in this looks unlikely.

10. Champagne Silly ($61.00)

Two scratchings is unlikely, even if she makes the field she’ll be run off her feet.

The Wolf’s Top 5

1. Fanta Bale
2. Outside Pass
3. Burn One Down
4. Ebby Ripper
5. Big Easy Red

Mayweather v McGregor is the fight that has got the world talking and The Wolf has his full preview & best bets here.

Prices correct as of 5:00pm AEDT Wednesday August 23, 2017.