Blue Diamond Stakes – Runner By Runner

The Wolf’s Runner by Runner guide to The 2018 Blue Diamond Stakes run over 1200m at Caulfield this Saturday. The race is steeped in history and has been won by champions such as Alinghi, Sepoy, Miracles Of Life & most recently by Catchy. Here are The Wolf’s thoughts on the 2018 Blue Diamond Stakes.

2018 Blue Diamond Stakes Caulfield Race 7
Best Bet No. Lady Horseowner ($19.00/$5.50)
Quinella Box 8,12,13 ($30 for 500%)
First 4 Box 1,2,3,8,12,13 ($50 for 14%)
2018 Blue Diamond Stakes

1. Long Leaf ($6.50)
Barrier: 7

Trainer: David & Ben Hayes & Tom Dabernig

Jockey: Kerrin McEvoy

Long Leaf is undefeated throughout his career and comes through some reasonably strong form references including victories ahead of Run Naan & Oohood. He’s a deserved favourite to win her, albeit a narrow one and from barrier 7 should get every favour throughout to win. Against him however, is that he is only defeated small fields and against a capacity field of 16 he’ll need to be at his best. The Wolf prefers others.

2. Written By ($10)
Barrier: 18
Trainer: Grahame Begg

Jockey: Jordan Childs

Written By won well last start at Caulfield in the Colts & Geldings Prelude ahead of Plague Stone & Native Soldier. He jumped from barrier 13 that day to settle third before taking over in the straight to win by half a length. He impressed The Wolf that day, however he’s drawn very awkwardly in barrier 18 for this where he’ll have to do a lot of work early if he is to seek a position on the speed. The draw will be difficult to overcome, but he’s talented and The Wolf is expecting a top five finish from the son of Written Tycoon.

3. Run Naan ($19)
Barrier: 12

Trainer: Tony McEvoy

Jockey: Andrew Mallyon

Run Naan has had four starts leading into this, including a smart win at Flemington in the Listed Maribyrnong Plate when second up. Since then he has appeared to struggle when finishing two lengths behind Long leaf and then three lengths behind Written By. The Wolf is happy to be against him based on his last two performances.

4. Prairie Fire ($9)
Barrier: 1

Trainer: Mick Price

Jockey: Mark Zahra

Prairie Fire won very well last start up the straight at Flemington and his run prior to that at Caulfield when placing behind Ennis Hill was also full of merit. He’s drawn well in barrier 1, however it isn’t too his advantage, as he’ll more than likely drift through the field and if he’s trapped on the rail he’ll struggle to find an out. Happy to risk.

5. Ollivander ($26)
Barrier: 3

Trainer: Matthew Ellerton & Simon Zahra

Jockey: Chris Symons

Ollivander’s form prior to his last start tenth placing was very good, especially when winning on debut at Caulfield over 1100m before placing behind the current Blue Diamond favourite; Long Leaf. His last start performance was very poor and off that run The Wolf is having difficulty making a case for him here.

6. Encryption ($19)
Barrier: 15

Trainer: James Cummings

Jockey: Damian Lane

Encryption is a three-start maiden heading into this and after drawing barrier 15 looks to have it all up against him. He finished a length behind Ennis Hill last start which reads well for this and The Wolf suspects the step up in distance to 1200m will suit. However, very rarely do maidens win a Group 1 at their first start and The Wolf is keen to side with those who have already won a race leading into this.

7. Native Soldier ($17)
Barrier: 20

Trainer: Darren Weir

Jockey: Brad Rawiller

Native Soldier comes into this with reasonable form having won at Geelong & Moonee Valley before placing in the Colts & Geldings Prelude behind Written By. However, barrier 20 makes things awfully difficult where he’ll either find himself settled wide, or worse yet, behind a wall of horses with it all in front of him. The Wolf is happy to risk him.

8. Plague Stone ($8)
Barrier: 6

Trainer: James Cummings

Jockey: Ben Melham

Plague Stone chased home Written By last start over 1100m and only finished half a length off him that day. The step up to 1200m suits here and after drawing barrier 6 maps to get a charmed run throughout. He’s placed in Sydney behind Secret Lady which reads very well for this as she has since gone on to bigger and better things. He rates as an excellent chance and The Wolf has him in the exotics.

9. Grand Symphony ($34)
Barrier: 5

Trainer: Robbie Griffiths

Jockey: Jye McNeil

Grand Symphony was well beaten by two lengths last start in his only career race. Hard to get a gauge on a horse that has only had one career start but he must be respected as the winner of that race, Kinky Boom; has since opened as second favourite to win here.

10. Enbihaar ($19)
Barrier: $19

Trainer: David & Ben Hayes & Tom Dabernig

Jockey: Cory Parish

Enbihaar is undefeated in two outings and off his last start win looks a major player. He beat home a reasonably smart field including Oohood & Crossing The Abbey, who have both won in town. The draw of barrier 19 however isn’t ideal and he’s another who could find himself far too back in the field with too much to do.

11. Kinky Boom ($8.50)
Barrier: 14

Trainer: Tony McEvoy

Jockey: Craig Williams

Kinky Boom won a trial prior to her debut by over eight lengths before coming out and winning the Listed Inglis Premier last start over this course and distance. This looks a reasonably strong form reference moving forward as the second last placegetter in Melveen who was beaten by eight lengths has since come out and won at Sandown. She’s a chance on  paper and The Wolf has her finishing in his top five.

12. Lady Horseowner ($19)
Barrier: 12

Trainer: Greg Eurell

Jockey: Nikita Beriman

Lady Horseowner has won both of her career starts and each time she has given the indication that a step up to 1200m for her grand final would suit. She took a split late between runners last start to win ahead of Crossing The Abbey & Oohood. Nikita Beriman remains aboard which only enhances The Wolf’s confidence; as she has won on her at her only two starts and after connections agreed to pay a late nomination fee of $55,000 it is clear to him that the stable have a strong opinion of her. She’s drawn nicely in barrier 12 where she can settle midfield with cover before peeling out to give chase in the straight.

13. Ennis Hill ($8.50)
Barrier: 4

Trainer: David & Ben Hayes & Tom Dabernig

Jockey: Stephen Baster

Ennis Hill was outstanding last start when winning the Group 3 Chairman’s Stakes after leading from the get go and after drawing barrier 4 she maps to do the same again. She’ll more than likely find the front from the draw and as long as he doesn’t elect to hand it up she’ll be in front for a very long way.

14. Crossing The Abbey ($34)
Barrier: 14

Trainer: Tim Hughes

Jockey: Luke Nolen

Crossing The Abbey won well at Flemington before finishing half a length behind Lady Horseowner in the Fillies Preview. She followed this up with a midfield finish in the Prelude where she was somewhat found out. She’ll need to be at the top of her game to be winning this and if last start is the best that she can produce The Wolf expects it won’t be good enough to win.

15. Qafila ($26)
Barrier: 16

Trainer: David & Ben Hayes & Tom Dabernig

Jockey: Dwayne Dunn

Qafila was unplaced at Flemington last start and since then has subsequently finish third in a trial comprising of four runners. Whilst her debut win at Caulfield in the Debutant Stakes last year was good, she beat a relatively weak field who hasn’t gone on to accomplish much and The Wolf would prefer to be on those who aren’t first up from a spell.

16. Ooohood ($7.50)
Barrier: 10

Trainer: Tony McEvoy

Jockey: Luke Currie

Oohood is the top pick from the McEvoy yard as Luke Currie is booked to ride and from barrier 10 maps to get a very nice run settled midfield with cover. Against her however is that she is yet to win and The Wolf has serious doubts around whether the Fillies Prelude will be the race to provide the winner. Happy to risk.

17. Aristocratic Miss ($101)
Barrier: 17

Trainer: Tony McEvoy

Jockey: Jamie Kah

Maiden galloper who couldn’t win at Bendigo. If she can’t win at Bendigo it is very hard to make a case for her winning a Group 1 at Caulfield. She’s $101 for a reason.

18. More Than Exceed ($34)
Barrier: 8

Trainer: Phillip Stoke

Jockey: Dom Tourneur

Phillip Stokes trained S.A galloper who has won once from two career starts. She’ll need two scratchings if she is to make this field and even if she does The Wolf isn’t expecting her to be competitive.

19. Roobeena ($126)
Barrier: 13

Trainer: Tony McEvoy

Jockey: Not Notified

Maiden who is yet to win in three outings. She was beaten by over five lengths last start and The Wolf is’t expecting her to be winning here.

20. Melveen ($101)
Barrier: 11

Trainer: Henry Dwyer

Jockey: Damien Thornton

Beaten by over eight lengths two starts ago on debut and then came out and won a mediocre maiden at Sandown. She’s talented but not here.

The Wolf’s Top 5

The Wolf is keen to side with Lady Horseowner here who has drawn well and should get a nice cart into the race. He has Plague Stone & Ennis Hill filling the placings in what is the most open Blue Diamond Stakes he has seen in sometime.

1 – Lady Horseowner
2 – Plague Stone
3 – Ennis Hill
4 – Long Leaf
5 – Written By

Bet on the latest 2018 Blue Diamond Stakes market here.

The Wolf’s Metro Racing Guide