State Of Origin III: Prop Sheet

 

QLD NSW

State Of Origin III: Prop Sheet

The Wolf has done the form for Origin III and has the below as his 10 best prop bets. He hit five of his 10 match props in Game II with a profit on turnover of 26.1%.

Over 36.5 Total Points ($1.90)
New South Wales/Over 36.5 (3.45)
Total Match Tries Over 6.5 ($1.95)
Total Match Points 41-50 ($3.25)
The Wolf fancies there will be plenty of points in Origin III with five of the last six dead rubbers topping 40 points. Those matches have averaged 43.5 points with four finishing between 40 and 50 points. Six of the last seven Game III matches have topped 40 points including 58 in last year’s final match.

New South Wales 1-12 ($2.80)
New South Wales 1-6 ($5.00)
Triple Margin I – Either Side Under 6.5 ($2.20)
The Blues are the bet in this one but the match should be close so there is value in backing them for a small win. The Maroons have finished a sweep just one of three times during their dominance while only 7 of 16 all-time sweep opportunities have been completed including just one of the last five.

Centre To Score A Try – No ($2.45)
Josh Dugan doesn’t score tries and is playing out of position. Justin O’Neill has lost all his speed. Greg Inglis is out of form. Michael Jennings has scored in just one of his last five.

Scorecast – James Tedesco Try/NSW Win ($3.50)
James Tedesco is a tryscoring machine for the Tigers and is expected to thrive on his debut. It would be no surprise if he crossed for a four-pointer as he will have a strong involvement.

Most Metres Gained NSW ($1.87)
In three of the four Blues victories under Laurie Daley, NSW have ran for the most metres. With more impact off the bench, the Blues need to out-run the Maroons to win this one.

 

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