NRL Preview Round 8: Rabbitohs v Broncos

NRL Betting
Match Preview Recommended Bets
South Sydney Rabbitohs v Brisbane Broncos
Thursday, April 26, 7:50pm (AEST)
ANZ Stadium, Sydney
Best: Over 39.5 ($1.91)
Value: South Sydney 1-12 ($2.90)
First Tryscorer: Robert Jennings 

The Rabbitohs have played some entertaining football over the past month which has seen them win four of their past five matches. Sam Burgess has another stint on the sidelines for his high shot on Aiden Sezer, while Cameron Murray is expected to make his return from a hamstring injury. The Broncos suffered a massive blow in last week’s loss to the Storm, losing hooker Andrew McCullough for six weeks with an elbow injury. The Broncos have struggled for consistency this year from their spine and this latest injury won’t help the case.

South Sydney continue to rise up the premiership ladder, now sixth following their run of four wins in their last five games. Souths now have the second best attack in the premiership while they rank seventh defensively. Brisbane are now 10th on the ladder with a 3-4 record and a -38 differential following their loss to the Storm. The Broncos have won just one of their last four. They have conceded more than 18 on five occasions this year.

Key Matchup
Adam Reynolds v Anthony Milford: Adam Reynolds is still working his way back from injury, but needs to start running the ball, rather than just directing the side around the park. Teams will start to target his outside men unless he is prepared to take the line on. He also has the advantage of other spine members, Damien Cook, Cody Walker and Alex Johnston playing well and taking the pressure off him. Meanwhile, Anthony Milford has been one of the major disappointments of the season so far. He scored a great individual try against the Storm, but undid all of the hard work when he let Suliasi Vunivalu sneak past him to ground the ball for a try. The loss of McCullough will also put more pressure on Milford to lift the Broncos out of their slump

Stats That Matter
– South Sydney are 6-1 ATS with a 4-3 under record while Brisbane are 2-5 ATS with a 4-3 over record.
– Brisbane have lost just nine of the 36 all-time meetings against Souths with the Broncos winning five straight with three of those wins being by 20 or greater.
– The teams are 2-2 at ANZ.
– Brisbane have scored 24 or more in five straight v Souths with the last 10 matches all topping 38 points.
– Souths have covered five straight and nine of their last 11 at ANZ.
– Souths are 10-6 ATS at ANZ after scoring 24 or more points while they are 8-4 ATS at the venue off a win of 13-plus.
– Brisbane have covered just two of their last seven at ANZ and just one of their last five away from Suncorp.
– Brisbane are 12-6 ATS as an underdog away from Suncorp and 8-3 ATS getting a start of 4 or more.
– The Broncos are 7-4 ATS interstate off a double digit loss and 12-5 ATS off a loss overall.

NRL Betting Stats

Final Thoughts
The Wolf has been impressed with the Rabbitohs of late and thinks they’ll be too strong for a Broncos side missing Andrew McCullough. The match totals have been 42, 49 and 40 in the past three matches between these sides. Overs and a Rabbitohs win by 1-12 is the way The Wolf is playing this one.

How It’s Shaping Up
South Sydney by 6

Recommended Bets
Best: Over 39.5 ($1.91)
Value: South Sydney 1-12 ($2.90)
First Tryscorer: Robert Jennings