|Match Preview||Recommended Bets|
|Penrith Panthers v Canterbury Bulldogs
Friday, April 27, 7:50pm (AEST)
Panthers Stadium, Penrith
|Best: Penrith -6 ($1.91)
Value: Penrith & Under 37.5 ($2.95)
First Tryscorer: Isaah Yeo
The Panthers will be looking for redemption when they host the Bulldogs at the foot of the Mountains in Friday Night Footy. They lost to the Bulldogs 20-18 back in Round 3 and will fancy their chances against a Bulldogs side ranked second last in scoring.
Penrith are third on the ladder with a 5-2 record following their 26-22 loss to Cronulla at Shark Park. The Panthers had won three straight prior. Penrith rank third in scoring while they have the sixth best defence. Canterbury are 14th on the ladder with a 2-5 record following their dreadful 6-0 loss at home to the Roosters. The Bulldogs rank second last in scoring while they rank ninth in scoring. Canterbury have scored 20 or fewer on six occasions this year.
Dylan Edwards v Moses Mbye: The fullbacks both had strong matches when they clashed only a few weeks ago in Round 3. Edwards crossed for a try and ran the ball back strongly as he always does. Meanwhile, Mbye was the best player on the field, polling 3 Dally M points in a performance that consisted of two tries and four line-breaks. You can bet that Panthers coach Anthony Griffin has done plenty of homework on the Bulldogs fullback this week.
Stats That Matter
– Penrith are 4-3 ATS with a 4-3 over number while Canterbury are 2-5 ATS with a 5-2 under record.
– Canterbury have won 52 of the 93 all-time matches against Penrith, including being the only team to defeat the Panthers in the first six rounds.
– None of the last six and only one of the last 10 have surpassed 40 points.
– The Panthers have won seven of the last 10 in Penrith and three of the last four overall.
– Penrith have covered 12 of their last 17 at Penrith Stadium.
– As a favourite at the ground, Penrith have covered seven of their last nine while they are 12-7 ATS since 2015 when favoured by four or more.
– The Panthers are 12-7 ATS at home off a loss.
– Penrith are 11-5 under at home after scoring 20 or more.
– Canterbury have covered just 12 of their last 39 away from ANZ, including a 9-15 ATS (15-9 under) as an outsider and a 4-6 ATS (8-2 under) when an outsider of less than a converted try. – In night games away from ANZ, the Bulldogs are 18-8 under.
– The under is 20-8 over the last four seasons when a team was held to zero the previous game.
– The Bulldogs are 5-15 ATS with a 14-6 under record after conceding 12 points or fewer.
It’s impossible to tip the Bulldogs on the back of last week’s ordinary effort against the Roosters where they failed to score a point. The Panthers have won seven of the last 10 against the Bulldogs in Penrith and three of the last four overall. The Panthers have too many points in them and should cover the six-point line.
How It’s Shaping Up
Penrith by 10