|NRL Preview||NRL Tips|
|Penrith Panthers v Cronulla Sharks
Friday, July 13, 6pm
Panthers Stadium, Penrith
|Best: Cronulla +1.5 ($1.83)
Value: Cronulla 1-12 ($3.10)
First Tryscorer: Jesse Ramien
The Panthers were ultra-impressive without their Origin stars last week, hammering the Warriors 36-4. It was the Jarome Luai and Tyrone May show as they took the most of their opportunities with the first-choice halves pairing of James Maloney and Nathan Cleary on Origin duty. Luai was sensational, scoring a double, kicking six goals, breaking 10 tackles and setting up a try. There could be life after Nathan Cleary if he decides to leave the Panthers at the end of the 2019 season. Maloney, Cleary and Peachey have been named on an extended bench, but appear unlikely to play. The Sharks will be fresh off the bye and need a win here to keep in touch with the Top 4. The Sharks defeated the Panthers 26-22 when these sides clashed back in Round 7, with Jesse Ramien scoring a double.
Penrith sit fourth on the ladder with an 11-5 record. They rank fifth in scoring and third in defence. The Panthers have won 5 of their last 7 and have conceded 4 points or fewer in 3 of their last 6. Cronulla are sixth on the ladder with a 10-6 record. They are the fifth best defensive unit but rank ninth in scoring. Cronulla have won 8 of their last 10 but are just 3-5 v Top 8 teams this year.
Stats That Matter
– Penrith are 10-6 ATS with a 9-7 over record while Cronulla are 7-9 ATS with a 9-7 under record.
– Cronulla have won four straight and 9 of their last 11.
– The Sharks have won four straight against the Panthers as well as 9 of the last 11.
– Cronulla have won 4 of the last 5 at Penrith Stadium.
– High scoring games have been the norm with 10 of the last 14 topping 38 points.
– Penrith are 24-16 ATS with a 24-16 record at Penrith Stadium since 2015 with 12 covers in their last 15.
– In home night games Penrith are 16-8 ATS with a 14-10 under record.
– The Panthers are 1-5 ATS when favoured at home by less than a try.
– Penrith are 10-4 ATS with a 10-4 under record off conceding 14 or fewer.
– The under is 26-11 when home favourites of less than 5.5 come off a win of 13 or more.
– The Sharks are 28-21 ATS away from Shark Park but just 12-17 ATS on the road at night (16-13 under).
– At night as a road underdog of less than try they are 6-0 ATS (10-0 ATS overall as an underdog of less than a try).
– The Sharks are 9-5 ATS with a 10-4 under record on the road as an underdog off a win.
– Cronulla are 18-8 ATS with a 16-10 under record off as a road underdog overall.
It will be worth keeping an eye on late team news here to see if James Maloney, Nathan Cleary and Tyrone Peachey back up after Origin after they were named on an extended bench. The Wolf is taking the Sharks. They’ve won four straight, and nine of the last 11 against the Panthers, including a 26-22 win in Round 7. It’s a huge clash for the Sharks as they look to keep in touch with the Top 4 and have had a fortnight to prepare for this clash. Sharks with the start and straight up.
How It Shapes Up
Cronulla by 4