NRL Preview Round 18: Broncos v Warriors

NRL Betting
NRL Preview NRL Tips
Brisbane Broncos v New Zealand Warriors
Sunday, July 15, 2pm
Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
Best: Over 42.5 ($1.91)
Value: New Zealand 1-12 ($3.50)
First Tryscorer: Solomone Kata ($13)

It will be important to keep on an eye on late team news to see if the Broncos Origin contingent will back up for this clash against the Warriors. Meanwhile, New Zealand will be determined to bounce back here after they were smashed 36-4 last week by a Panthers side missing their Origin stars.

Recent Form
Brisbane are seventh on the ladder with a 10-6 record. The Broncos rank seventh in scoring and 10th in defence. The Broncos have won three straight and 7 of their last 9. Brisbane have scored 20 or more in 9 of their last 11. New Zealand are down to eighth on the ladder with a 10-6 record. They rank 10th in scoring and eighth in defence. The Warriors have dropped 3 of their last 5.

Stats That Matter
– Brisbane are 8-8 ATS with a 9-7 over record.
– They have covered three straight.
– New Zealand are 10-6 ATS with a 10-6 under record.
– The last 12 matches have been evenly split between the teams.
– The Broncos have won 5 of the last 6 at Suncorp with three of those wins one-score victories.
– Five of the last six matches have topped 38 points.
– The Warriors have conceded at least 30 in four of their last nine.
– Brisbane are 28-22 ATS at Suncorp over the last four seasons with a 32-18 over record.
– The over has hit in 15 of the last 19 at Suncorp.
– The Broncos have covered just 4 of their last 11 at Suncorp.
– Brisbane are 7-4 at Suncorp after winning by 13 or more.
– The Broncos are 12-6 ATS with a 13-5 over record after conceding 10 or fewer.
– Interstate underdogs of 3.5 or less are 70-34 ATS since 2013.
– The Warriors have covered 4 of their last 5 as an interstate underdog.
– The under is 6-2 when the Warriors are interstate underdogs off scoring 14 or fewer.
– The Warriors have covered 6 of their last 8 day games in Australia.

NRL Betting Stats
Final Thoughts
The Wolf is tipping a bounce back performance from the Warriors and is also expecting both sides to throw the ball around. The overs looks like the best play, with five of the last six matches between the sides topping 38 points. Warriors halfback, Shaun Johnson is a superstar, who was poor by his standards in last week’s loss to the Panthers, and The Wolf is tipping a big performance from SJ. Meanwhile, Broncos five-eighth Anthony Milford looks to have finally hit his straps and could provide plenty of attacking opportunities here.

How It Shapes Up
New Zealand by 2

Recommended Bets
Best: Over 42.5 ($1.91)
Value: New Zealand 1-12 ($3.50)
First Tryscorer: Solomone Kata ($13)