NRL Preview Round 15: Sharks v Broncos

NRL Betting
NRL Preview NRL Tips
Cronulla Sharks v Brisbane Broncos
Saturday, June 16, 7:35pm
Southern Cross Group Stadium, Sydney
Best: Brisbane +4.5 ($1.91)
Value: Pump It Up Price Special – Both Teams Score 20+ & Brisbane Win ($12)
First Try: Corey Oates ($11)

This shapes up as a crucial clash between the seventh-placed Sharks and eighth-placed Broncos. The Sharks overcame a halftime deficit to run over the Tigers last week, while the Broncos blew a halftime lead against the Storm, putting up little resistance in the second half. James Roberts returns for the Broncos after missing the clash against the Storm.

Recent Form
Cronulla are seventh on the ladder with a 9-5 record. They rank seventh in defence and ninth in scoring. The Sharks have won 7 of their last 8 and have scored 22-plus in 5 of their last 6. Brisbane are eighth on the ladder with a 7-6 record. They rank 10th in scoring and a lowly 13th in defence. The Broncos have won 4 of their last 6 but come into this off a convincing loss to Melbourne.

Key Matchup
Paul Gallen v Josh McGuire. Paul Gallen changed the game for the Sharks against the Tigers last week, with a try and set up a line-break for Valentine Holmes which led to a Sharks try. He turned back the clock and put to bed retirement talk in the short-term at least. Josh McGuire was reasonably quiet by his standards against the Storm, but can be forgiven as he filled in at the unfamiliar position of hooker when Andrew McCullough was given a rest. If he plays at lock this week, he needs to increase his work rate with the ball in hand, and tackle everything that comes his way. There’s plenty of niggle in McGuire’s game and he’ll be looking to get under Gallen’s skin.

Stats That Matter
– Cronulla are 6-8 ATS with a 7-7 total record.
– Brisbane are 5-8 ATS with a 9-4 over number.
– The Broncos have gone over in 7 of their last 8.
– Brisbane have won 8 of the last 12 against Cronulla, including 3 of the last 4.
– The Broncos have won 4 of the last 5 at Shark Park.
– Four of the last five meetings have topped 42 points.
– The Sharks are 18-25 ATS at Shark Park since 2015, including a 12-22 ATS record as a favourite (3 of their last 15).
– The Sharks are 9-19 ATS at home off a win.
– Brisbane are 17-10 ATS with an 18-9 over record as an outsider since 2015 while they are 11-4 ATS with a 10-5 over number as an underdog of 4.5 or more.
– On the road off a loss the Broncos are 13-5 ATS.

NRL Betting Stats
Final Thoughts
The Wolf liked what he saw from the Broncos in the first half against the Storm and if they can play like that for 80 minutes then they can topple the Sharks. The Broncos have won 8 of the last 12 against the Sharks and 4 of the last 5 at Shark Park. Happy to be on the Broncos with 4.5 start here.

How It Shapes Up
Brisbane by 4

Recommended Bets
Best: Brisbane +4.5 ($1.91)
Value: Pump It Up Price Special – Both Teams Score 20+ & Brisbane Win ($12)
First Try: Corey Oates ($11)