|NRL Preview||NRL Tips|
|Sydney Roosters v Penrith Panthers
Friday, June 15, 7:55pm
Allianz Stadium, Sydney
|Best: Under 37.5 ($1.91)
Value: Penrith 1-12 ($3.25)
First Try: Tyrone Peachey ($10)
The Roosters are starting to hit their straps, winning five of their last six matches, and can push their claims for a Top 4 spot with a win over the Panthers here. Meanwhile, the Panthers are on a four-match winning streak, setting up a blockbuster at Allianz Stadium on Friday night. Viliame Kikau is out with a knee injury in the only change for the Panthers, while one of their favourite sons, Peter Wallace announced his immediate retirement during the week.
The Sydney Roosters are sixth on the ladder with a 9-5 record. They have the third best defence but rank eighth in scoring. The Roosters have won 5 of their last 6 with three of those wins coming by two points. Penrith lead the NRL with a 10-3 record. Penrith rank first in defence and third in attack. The Panthers have won four straight. They have played just three games against Top 8 teams this year for a 2-1 record.
Luke Keary v James Maloney. Luke Keary will have a point to prove after he was left out of the NSW Origin side for Game 1, and would love a big performance against the current NSW halves in James Maloney and Nathan Cleary. Keary scored a try and had a try assist in last week’s win over the Knights, but needs to deliver against a Top 4 side like the Panthers. James Maloney has been one of the signings of the season, and has taken plenty of pressure off Nathan Cleary not only at club level but in the Origin arena. Maloney is a big-game player and is set to shine for the Panthers on Friday night.
Stats That Matter
– The Sydney Roosters are 7-7 ATS with a 9-5 under number.
– Penrith are 9-4 ATS with a 7-6 over record with the Panthers covering four straight.
– The Sydney Roosters have won 6 of their last 9 against Penrith.
– The Roosters and Panthers have split the last six at Allianz Stadium evenly.
– Five of the last six meetings have failed to break 37 points.
– The Roosters have covered just 3 of 11 at Allianz Stadium and 4 of 13 off a win at the ground.
– The under is 16-10 when the Roosters play at Allianz off a victory and 16-8 when playing at Allianz after conceding 16 or fewer.
– The Panthers are 27-19 under since 2015 on the road (15-8 off a win, 17-7 off scoring 20+, 14-9 at night) while they have covered 8 of 11 on the road.
– The Panthers have covered 6 of 7 after conceding 20 or more.
This is clearly the match of the round and The Wolf can’t wait! Unders looks like the best betting angle here. The Panthers have the best defence in the NRL, while the Roosters rank third. Another key factor in backing the unders is that five of the last six meetings have failed to break 37 points. Panthers in a low-scoring affair.
How It Shapes Up
Penrith by 2