NRL Preview Round 15: Knights v Storm

NRL Betting
NRL Preview NRL Tips
Newcastle Knights v Melbourne Storm
Sunday, June 17, 2pm
McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle
Best: Melbourne 13+ ($2.10)
Value: 1st Tryscorer & Match Winner – Josh Addo Carr & Melbourne ($8)

The Storm are getting some key troops back for this clash against the Knights, with Will Chambers and Curtis Scott set to return. The Knights were hammered 40-14 by the Storm in Melbourne back in Round 6 and could face a tough afternoon one against a Storm side which has won five straight against the Knights.

Recent Form
Newcastle are 11th on the ladder with a 6-8 record. They have the second worst defence in the NRL while they rate 11th in scoring. Newcastle have won just 1 of their last 6 – a defeat of last-placed Parramatta. Melbourne are up to fifth on the ladder following their dominant win over Brisbane. The Storm rank fourth in both scoring and defence. Melbourne have now won 6 of their last 8.

Stats That Matter
–¬†Newcastle are 7-7 ATS with an 8-6 over number.
– Melbourne are 6-7 ATS with a 7-6 over record.
– Melbourne have won five straight and 13 of the last 16 against the Knights.
– The last three meetings have all seen Storm wins of 26 or more.
– Melbourne have won 4 of the last 5 meetings in Newcastle.
– The last three meetings have all topped 50 points.
– Home underdogs of 8 or more are 80-46 ATS since 2008 with teams who conceded 18 or fewer 22-9 ATS.
– The Knights have covered 5 of their last 7 at home getting a start of 8 or more.
– The Knights have covered 9 of their last 14 home day games.
– The Storm go under at 60% away from AAMI Park with a 29-19 under record.
– Melbourne have covered just 1 of their last 6 away from AAMI.
– The Storm are 11-7 ATS with an 11-7 ATS record on the road after scoring 30 while they are 13-7 ATS off a double digit win.

NRL Betting Stats
Final Thoughts
The Wolf can’t see anything other than a comfortable Storm victory here. They were clinical in running over the Broncos in the second half last week, and their record against the Knights speaks volumes in itself.¬†Melbourne have won five straight and 13 of the last 16 against the Knights, including a 40-14 thrashing back in Round 6. The Storm are starting to hit their straps after a slow start to the year and it should be one-way traffic in Newcastle.

How It Shapes Up
Melbourne by 20

Recommended Bets
Best: Melbourne 13+ ($2.10)
Value: 1st Tryscorer & Match Winner – Josh Addo Carr & Melbourne ($8)

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