|NRL Preview||NRL Tips|
|Newcastle Knights v Melbourne Storm
Sunday, June 17, 2pm
McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle
|Best: Melbourne 13+ ($2.10)
Value: 1st Tryscorer & Match Winner – Josh Addo Carr & Melbourne ($8)
The Storm are getting some key troops back for this clash against the Knights, with Will Chambers and Curtis Scott set to return. The Knights were hammered 40-14 by the Storm in Melbourne back in Round 6 and could face a tough afternoon one against a Storm side which has won five straight against the Knights.
Newcastle are 11th on the ladder with a 6-8 record. They have the second worst defence in the NRL while they rate 11th in scoring. Newcastle have won just 1 of their last 6 – a defeat of last-placed Parramatta. Melbourne are up to fifth on the ladder following their dominant win over Brisbane. The Storm rank fourth in both scoring and defence. Melbourne have now won 6 of their last 8.
Stats That Matter
– Newcastle are 7-7 ATS with an 8-6 over number.
– Melbourne are 6-7 ATS with a 7-6 over record.
– Melbourne have won five straight and 13 of the last 16 against the Knights.
– The last three meetings have all seen Storm wins of 26 or more.
– Melbourne have won 4 of the last 5 meetings in Newcastle.
– The last three meetings have all topped 50 points.
– Home underdogs of 8 or more are 80-46 ATS since 2008 with teams who conceded 18 or fewer 22-9 ATS.
– The Knights have covered 5 of their last 7 at home getting a start of 8 or more.
– The Knights have covered 9 of their last 14 home day games.
– The Storm go under at 60% away from AAMI Park with a 29-19 under record.
– Melbourne have covered just 1 of their last 6 away from AAMI.
– The Storm are 11-7 ATS with an 11-7 ATS record on the road after scoring 30 while they are 13-7 ATS off a double digit win.
The Wolf can’t see anything other than a comfortable Storm victory here. They were clinical in running over the Broncos in the second half last week, and their record against the Knights speaks volumes in itself. Melbourne have won five straight and 13 of the last 16 against the Knights, including a 40-14 thrashing back in Round 6. The Storm are starting to hit their straps after a slow start to the year and it should be one-way traffic in Newcastle.
How It Shapes Up
Melbourne by 20