NRL Preview Round 15: Dragons v Sea Eagles

NRL Betting
NRL Preview NRL Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons v Manly Sea Eagles
Saturday, June 16, 5:30pm
WIN Stadium, Wollongong
Best: St George Illawarra 1-12 ($3)
Value: St George Illawarra 1-12 & Over 40.5 ($6.50)
First Try: Nene Macdonald ($10)

It’s no wonder that the Dragons turned in a flat performance against the Bulldogs last week, with four of their stars backing up after State of Origin Game 1. Meanwhile, the injury crisis continues at Manly, with hooker Api Koroisau ruled out for the next 8-10 weeks with a broken foot.

Recent Form
St George Illawarra have moved back top of the table after a gritty win over Canterbury. The Saints have a 10-3 record and have the best attack in the competition. St George Illawarra have won 4 of their last 6. Manly have fallen to 13th on the ladder with just four wins from 14 games. Manly rank sixth in scoring but are a lowly 14th in defence. Manly have conceded at least 21 points in five of their last six.

Key Matchup
Matt Dufty v Tom Trbojevic. The Wolf is looking forward to this battle of the fullbacks. Matt Dufty might be small in stature, but is a tackle-breaking machine, with speed to burn. ‘Tommy Turbo’ was outstanding in Origin 1 and can be forgiven for turning in a flat performance against the Warriors. If the Sea Eagles are any chance of an upset, he and his brother need to be the best two players on the field.

Stats That Matter
– St George Illawarra are 7-6 ATS with a 9-4 under record with four straight unders/non-covers.
– Manly are 6-8 ATS with a 7-7 under record.
– The Dragons have won 3 of the last 4 and 7 of the last 11 against the Sea Eagles.
– The Dragons have won the last five at Wollongong against Manly.
– The last three meetings have topped 42 points.
– The Dragons have covered just 6 of their last 20 as a favourite of 6.5 or more points.
– The Saints have won 10 and covered 9 of 14 at Wollongong.
– Manly have covered 4 of their last 5 away from Brookvale but just 4 of their last 17.
– Manly have covered 10 of 13 away from Brookvale getting a start of 8 or more while they are 9-2 ATS getting 8 or more off a win.

NRL Betting Stats
Final Thoughts
The Dragons have a good record against the Sea Eagles and have won the last five at Wollongong. This should continue on Saturday night. The loss of Api Koroisau cannot be understated, with the Sea Eagles looking rudderless against the Warriors when he went off the field. Daly Cherry-Evans could have some extra off-field distractions this week after some colourful comments made by former teammate Anthony Watmough. The Dragons have only covered 6 of their last 20 a favourite of 6.5 or more points. Back the Red V by a margin of 1-12 points.

How It Shapes Up
St George Illawarra by 8

Recommended Bets
Best: St George Illawarra 1-12 ($3)
Value: St George Illawarra 1-12 & Over 40.5 ($6.50)
First Try: Nene Macdonald ($10)