NRL Preview: Rabbitohs v Bulldogs

NRL Betting
NRL Preview
South Sydney Rabbitohs v Canterbury Bulldogs
Thursday, August 10, 7:50pm (AEST) at ANZ Stadium, Sydney
Best: Under 38.5 ($1.88)
Other: South Sydney 1-12 ($3)

It’s been a disappointing season for both of these proud and famous clubs, with both the Rabbitohs and Bulldogs recording just the seven wins for the season. The Rabbitohs recorded a morale-boosting win over the Dragons last week, while the Bulldogs woes in attack continued in their 20-4 defeat at the hands of the in-form Eels.

History
The Bulldogs have won three of their last four against the Rabbitohs, including a 24-9 win at ANZ Stadium in Round 7 earlier this season. Six of the last eight matches have tallied 38 points or fewer.

Form
South Sydney are 11th on the ladder with a 7-13 record and ended a four-game losing streak with a comeback win over St George Illawarra at the SCG. Souths have conceded at least 23 points in four straight and rank 12th defensively in the NRL. Canterbury are 13th on the ladder, also with a 7-13 record, due to a horrific attack that is averaging only 13.2ppg. The only team Canterbury has surpassed 16 points again in the last nine weeks (2-7 record) is Newcastle, being held to single digits four times over that span.

Key Matchup
Damien Cook v Moses Mbye: Cook finally rediscovered the form that he displayed in his stint with the Bulldogs, running for 116 metres, scoring a try and setting up another in the Rabbitohs win over the Dragons. Bench hooker Robbie Farah only saw 19 minutes as a result of Cook’s strong performance. Mbye has been a major disappointment this season, but Des Hasler’s constant shuffling of the halves hasn’t helped his cause. He now finds himself playing hooker, but isn’t helping himself either, with just two runs for 23 metres in the loss to the Eels. He has speed to burn and needs to be a bigger threat around the ruck.

Stats That Matter
– South Sydney are 10-10 ATS with a 10-10 total number while Canterbury are 9-11 ATS with a 16-4 under record.

– Canterbury have won three of their last four against Souths.

– Six of the last eight matches have tallied 38 points or fewer.

– Souths are 18-26 ATS at ANZ since 2014 while they are 13-17 ATS with an 18-12 under record as a favourite.

– As an underdog at the ground the Bulldogs are 12-7 ATS with a 13-6 under record.

–  The Bulldogs gave gone under in 12 of their last 14 after scoring 12 or more.

Final Thoughts
The Wolf finds it hard to back either of these struggling sides with any confidence, making the unders the best betting angle in this one. As already mentioned, six of the last eight matches have tallied 38 points or fewer and the Bulldogs are struggling to score any points.

How It’s Shaping Up
South Sydney by 4

Best Bet
Under 38.5 ($1.88)

Other Recommended Bets
South Sydney 1-12 ($3)

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