NRL Stats Watch: 2016 Close Games


NRL Stats Watch: 2016 Close Games Record

Records in close games is one of the best indicators on how a team will perform the following season.

Lucky teams are those that win over 70 per cent of of games decided by a score or less.

Unlucky teams are those that win 30 per cent or less of games decided by a score or less.

Lucky teams tend to regress the following year while unlucky teams are generally improvers.

This season the Rabbitohs and Cowboys were forecast to drop games – and they both did losing four and two respectively.

The Raiders were tipped as big improvers – and saw their win total increase by 7.5.

Here are how every team performed in games decided by six points or less in 2016.

Brisbane: 2-4
Canberra: 3-3-1
Canterbury: 6-2
Cronulla: 6-2-1
Gold Coast: 4-4-1
Manly: 2-4
Melbourne: 6-1
New Zealand: 4-3
Newcastle: 1-5-1
North Queensland: 4-5
Parramatta: 4-3
St George Illawarra:
South Sydney:
Sydney Roosters:
Wests Tigers:

So in 2017 expect vastly improved performances from the Sydney Roosters and Newcastle while Melbourne, Canterbury, Cronulla and St George Illawarra should all expect a fall in their win total, a major concern for the Dragons who missed the finals despite going 7-3 in close games.


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