Wests Tigers v Gold Coast Titans
Saturday, August 13, 3pm (AEST), Campbelltown Stadium, Sydney
|Best Bet: Gold Coast ($2.00)
Other: Gold Coast/Gold Coast HT/FT ($2.80)
Ryan James First Try ($21.00)
The Hayne Plane returns home when Jarryd Hayne and the Gold Coast Titans travel to Campbelltown to tackle the resurgent Wests Tigers in a battle that will have mammoth Top 8 implications.
The Tigers are unchanged from their win over the Cowboys. Jarryd Hayne has been named to start at five-eighth with Cameron Cullen back to an extended bench that includes the returning Nathan Friend.
Gold Coast hold a 9-7 all-time edge over Wests Tigers including a dominant 30-18 win in Round 3 in Queensland. The Titans have won 4 of the last 6 including the last two in Sydney. The only time a team has swept a two-game yearly series was the Tigers in 2008. The Tigers are 2-1 v the Titans at Campbelltown. Jordan Rankin is a former Titans player. Kevin Naiqama scored a hat-trick when the teams last met while Ryan James has scored in two of his last three against the Titans.
Wests Tigers are remarkably up to ninth on the ladder with a 10-10 record though their -47 differential is 12th. They rank 9th in attack and 13th in defence though since Round 11 they are the sixth best defensive side. The Tigers have now won three straight and 7 of their last 10. Gold Coast have dropped to 10th on the ladder with a 9-10-1 record. Their +7 differential is 8th best. They rate 8th in both attack and defence but since Round 11 have been the third top attacking team and the seventh ranked defence.
James Tedesco v Jarryd Hayne. Tedesco has established himself as arguably the best fullback in the game and there is no question his try to finish the match last week was eerily reminiscent of Hayne’s famous try in 2009. Hayne still has to get fit and find a feel for the match but there were signs of his brilliance in his return game.
Stats That Matter
Wests Tigers are 11-9 ATS with a 10-10 total record while Gold Coast are 14-6 ATS with an 11-9 over number. The Tigers have covered five straight and gone under in their last three while the Titans have covered 4 of their last 5. Overs in day matches Rounds 20-26 are 57-43 since 2011. Home favourites over the same period are 18-22 ATS while off a win are 5-10 ATS. Small home favourites overall since 2011 off a win are a shocking 22-29 ATS. The Titans are 27-11 ATS interstate with a head-to-head POT of 73% since 2013. As an underdog of less than a converted try they are 5-2 ATS. Small interstate underdogs off a double figure loss are 13-7 ATS since 2013 with a 12-8 under record. Small favourites off five straight covers are 15-8 ATS since 2008.
The Tigers are 0-6 when behind at halftime while the Titans are 6-0 when leading at the break.
This has turned into a monster clash with a Top 8 spot on the line and Jarryd Hayne returning to Sydney. Plenty are jumping on the Tigers now but after a big showing could be in a flat spot while the Titans will be better for Hayne’s run. The Titans are too good interstate to ignore and trusting the Tigers without so many key players as a favourite is a hard thing to do. Bet the Gold Coast.
How It’s Shaping Up
Gold Coast by 6
Gold Coast ($2.00)
Gold Coast/Gold Coast HT/FT ($2.80)
Best First/Last Tryscorer
Ryan James ($21.00)
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