NRL Preview: Panthers v Roosters

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NRL Preview
Penrith Panthers v Sydney Roosters

Monday, August 8, 7pm (AEST), Penrith Stadium, Sydney
Best Bet: Sydney Roosters +4.5 ($1.90)
Other: Under 40.5 ($1.90)
Sydney Roosters HT/FT ($3.35)

Round 22 wraps up with an enthralling clash between Penrith and the Sydney Roosters. The Panthers are on the outside of the Top 8 looking in and desperately need a win while the Roosters will be up and about after rolling the Broncos last week.

Selection Notes
Both teams go into this unchanged.

Round 21 Team of the Week

History
The Sydney Roosters have won 53 of the 86 all-time games against Penrith but the Panthers won the most important, the 2003 Grand Final. The Roosters have won 5 of the last 7 but again Penrith won the biggest clash, a final in the 2014 season. The teams met in Round 7 this year with Penrith squeaking home 20-16. Low-scoring matches have been very much the norm with the last four failing to breach 37. The Roosters have won 7 of the last 9 at Penrith. Blake Ferguson has scored 5 tries in his last 5 games against Penrith.

NRL betting odds database

Form
Penrith sit ninth on the ladder with a 9-10 record and a -17 differential, also ninth. They rank 10th in attack and 10th in defence. They have won just 2 of their last 5 but have conceded sub-20 in their last three. The Sydney Roosters remain second last with just four wins. Their -126 differential ranks 14th in the NRL while they rank 14th in both attack and defence. They ended a six-game losing streak against the Broncos last week. They have not won two on end all year.

Round 22 NRL Odds

Key Matchup
Nathan Cleary v Mitchell Pearce. Cleary has been a revelation since coming into first grade with his kicking game exceptional for such a young player. Pearce was very good against the Broncos and seems to be finding his best form. The half who controls the game best should walk away a winner here.

Stats That Matter
Penrith are 7-12 ATS this year with a 10-9 under record while the Sydney Roosters are 9-10 ATS with a 12-7 under record. Road underdogs shorter than a converted try in the last seven rounds of the season cover at 64% since 2011. Penrith are 10-14 ATS as a home favourite since 2013 and have failed to cover their last four. As a home favourite off a loss they are 5-8 ATS. The Roosters are 0-3 ATS as a road underdog off a win since ’13. The Roosters are 4-9 ATS with a 9-4 over record after scoring 30 points.

In-Play Stat
Penrith have overcome 4 of 11 halftime deficits this year while the Roosters are 0-10 when trailing at the break.

Behind The Curtains

Final Thoughts
Penrith have been wildly inconsistent this year and look under the odds against the Roosters. The Chooks have close to their best team available for this and with favourites going 0-7 ATS this weekend the plus is the bet.

How It’s Shaping Up
Sydney Roosters by 2

Best Bet
Sydney Roosters +4.5 ($1.90)

Best Exotic
Sydney Roosters HT/FT ($3.35)

Best First/Last Tryscorer
Blake Ferguson ($13.00)

Other Recommended Bets
Under 40.5 ($1.90)

Discuss