Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 8/4/16

Horse Racing betting

Wolf’s Best
Orange Race 7 No.1 Mr Steal – $2.40
It’s not hard to envisage Mr Steal taking a stack of beating in what is weakish Orange Cup. He’s far and away the best horse in the field, hence he carries 5kig more than the next highest weighted horser, but he’s got the necessary class to overcome that. No doubt he’ll adopt his usual tactics and bowl along out in front, and if any others attempt to pressure him a long way out, it would be suicide for them as we know he can bat along at the one pace for quite a while and he’d break the hearts of this lot. Won’t be a big price but should be way too good.

Circuit Bets
Cranbourne Race 1 No.7 The Big Le Boomski – $4.40
Very well fancied first up after trialling particularly well, The Big Le Boomski was a slightly disappointing fourth behind Saint Valorem, but she can quickly make up for that by winning a maiden that looks to be light on horses with much upside. She’s still learning her craft this Jason Warren prepared filly, and they’ve applied a few gear changes here to make sure she races as true as possible – if she does she may well just be too quick for this lot and you can expect them to ride her aggressively and attempt to dominate from the front.

Cranbourne Race 7 No.5 Air Apparent – $3.80
Air Apparent has done most of her racing in pretty good company, in fact she’s lined up in six stakes races including a Blue Diamond Stakes where she performed admirably for sixth behind Pride Of Dubai. It’s probably one of the reasons punters sent her out favourite first up in a restricted fillies and mares event, but she was given a huge task by being dragged back to last and coming extremely wide entering the straight, and just was unable to make up that ground under the big weight. The last 100m or so she was doing her best work and it really wasn’t a bad effort considering the circumstances. Slightly up in trip here and after being handed a better draw, can see her settling much closer to the speed, which she’s done plenty of times previously. Expect her to sharply improve down in class again.

Orange Race 2 No.5 Street Prince – $4.60
He didn’t display much in his first campaign but Street Prince’s first up run this time in was encouraging for a race like this and expect him to be right in the finish. The two gallopers that finished one-two at Goulburn look like they could go on to at least provincial class and this Con Karakatsanis trained gelding wasn’t far away. Not many of these have much of a future and Street Prince may yet still be able to carve out one – he won’t find an easier maiden to get things started.

Canberra Race 5 No.5 Boys Day Out – $2.40
Boys Day Out was heavily backed last start at Canberra and duly saluted quite easily and, although he goes up in grade here, can see a similar scenario playing out where he can lead and dictate to his rivals. There’s an argument to be made that he’s much better off at the 1400m of that start, rather than the 1200m here, but there just isn’t any genuine speed engaged and he’s clearly the most in form galloper in the race – with the rail out 10m in may well just set up for him perfectly to make it two straight.