Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 7/2/16

Horse Racing betting

Wolf’s Best
Pinjarra Race 7 No.2 The River – $3.10
Although he was beaten fair and square at his second start by one of his rivals for this in stablemate Trademark, The River is one of WA’s better juveniles and he can square the ledger with a win in the rich Magic Millions event here. He was outstanding on debut, running down Speeding Comet in stylish fashion showing great acceleration – it was the win of an above average galloper. Then last time out he sat just off Trademark who got a very easy time of it in front, and with the two kilo difference just got away far enough to hold off The River who was coming late. They now meet at level weights and Trademark may have to work from that wide draw, whilst The River can find a sit and not have to chase a leader who’s been able to dictate from the start. As Bruce Springsteen said – “Into The River we dive”.

 

Circuit Bets
Mudgee Race 5 No.11 Fabulosity – $2.35
After a less than stellar juvenile campaign, Fabulosity returned at three with a strong maiden win at Nowra on New Year’s Eve, before a close up third to the in form Sea Home 12 days later at the same venue. She then turned in a horrible effort when well in the market at Bathurst last time out, you just have to forget that, she never once handled the driving rain and deteriorating track condition and was a beaten horse a long way from home – that’s a total forgive. She’ll now get back on to a firm surface here, draws the fence, and, depending on what others decide to do, will either lead and dictate or get a cushy run behind anything else that decides to press forward. She can bounce back quickly from that disastrous last start.

Sale Race 7 No.1 Iconic – $6
Iconic desperately needed that hitout up the straight last week behind Headwater and love the fact that he backs up quickly into this easier affair. At his best he would annihilate this lot, we’re talking about a horse here that’s beaten the likes of Trust In A Gus and Villa Verde and has pushed group one stars like Lankan Rupee and Rubick on occasions. He only has to carry 4.5kgs over the limit for this, for comparison he just carried 5kgs above the limit in a listed race at Flemington – he’s well in here, and think he might be looking for the 1200m these days as an older type. If he brings his best, he wins, simple as that.

 

Wolf’s┬áBolter
Mudgee Race 4 No.11 Duquessa – $16
She’d never be a horse that you could make a special, but Duquessa, a winner of just the one race from 22 starts, will be getting a little of The Wolf’s money on her in this. She’s actually run some good races of late – her two runner up performances behind Secret Web and Allzin were both full of merit, she worked home the best of the beaten brigade on both occasions. Then they went hard two starts back at Newcastle and she just couldn’t see out a strongly run 2200m, and last start she got caught up in traffic when trying to work into the race at Tuncurry and should have finished closer when a beaten favourite. No doubt this race is tougher than what she took on last time, but she gets down to the limit, she’s rock hard fit, and there might be enough pressure up front here for her to work into the race – hard to say she’s flat out going to win, but she’s a chance at odds in this.

 

Quaddie

Sapphire Coast
1,4,5/1,7/1,2,5,7/4,5,7

Sale
1,2,3,5,6/1/3,5,6,9/1,5,8,9,10,13

 

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