Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 6/4/16

Horse Racing betting

Wolf’s Best
Sandown (Hillside) Race 4 No.6 Kalidaz – $3.80
After taking 8 starts to notch her maiden win, the Greg Eurell trained Kalidaz seems to have really come on this prep and she is absolutely low flying right now. She was beat first up by what may turn out to be a smart filly in Always, but it didn’t deter punters who installed her favourite again and she finally came through winning over the 1200m. They stepped her up in grade and distance at her next start, and she bolted in when allowed to dictate proceedings over seven furlongs. You take a look at the form around her from those two victories and it reads well – Beachley and Gingie, who were the placegetters behind her two back, have both gone on to win their first races since, whilst Devilishly, who ran a distant second behind her last time out, has since prevailed in similar company. In hindsight some of the horses Kalidaz ran second to in her previous prep have also gone on to better things including Puritan and Ragnaar, and she may have just needed that little bit of extra time to catch up physically – now that she has she may end up proving herself in even better company than this.

Circuit Bets
Warwick Farm Race 1 No.10 Kabuki – $9
There looks to be some handy up and comers in this maiden and you can throw the Godolphin gelding Kabuki into that mix. That race he comes out of Kembla may well turn out to be a pretty decent form maiden and he got a long way back there, getting caught up behind runners turning for home whilst others were circling him, before pulling out to the centre of the track late and running on, the bird having flown already. Prior to that he’d trialled nicely as well and with the slight rise in trip and the better draw he can definitely take a more forward position in running. In an open race he looks a big improver.

Warwick Farm Race 5 No.7 Sanaya – $3.70
Sanaya looked the likely winner with not far to go first up, before getting caught very late by Dixie Chick. It was an encouraging effort, considering it was her first start in six months, the winner had the big fitness edge and she was racing against fillies that had won races previously. She seems quite the professional type and from a decent draw expect Hugh Bowman to now have her up on the speed over the 1400m – she stays in the same grade with several of these already having shed their maiden status, but it won’t be long before this girl can say the same thing.

Warwick Farm Race 6 No.8 Puzzling Wonder – $8.50
Lightly raced 4yo stallion Puzzling Wonder just never went on with it after a good win first up last prep, and they spelled him after two ordinary efforts in what was probably a smart move. He returns here with the benefit of a trial under his belt, and it was quite an impressive display as he showed good gate speed to lead, was held together well into the straight and was given a bit of a rev up very late to comfortably win. One thing that was clearly evident was the amount he’d sweated up prior to the trial and think he’ll really take a lot of benefit from that effort. There’s not sizzling speed engaged in this race and you may well see Blake Shinn park Puzzling Wonder right on the pace, and if there’s any cut out of the track that shouldn’t be a concern for him as he’s won twice on rain affected surfaces. You’re getting appealing odds to find out if he’s come back in top order.

 

Wolf’s Bolter
Sandown (Hillside) Race 7 No.10 Magnagem – $13
Magnagem has proven that she is a consistent mare, running in the top two in five of her seven starts, and on the two occasions she didn’t there were genuine excuses for her failing to do so. She looks nicely placed here, and particularly well weighted after the claim, and if she can get things to go her way here she’ll be right in the finish. Obviously the barrier is a concern and she probably wouldn’t be the price she is if she’d drawn closer to the fence. There should be a fair bit of speed on, being a big field over the 1000m, but I’d have zero problem if he sat three or four wide on her, hopefully with some cover just behind the speed – it’s only the one turn and by no means a sharp one at that. She may well still be on the way up this daughter of Magnus, and you couldn’t say the same about most of her opposition and she’s extremely attractive odds to test that theory.

 

Quaddie

Warwick Farm
2,4,6,7,10/4,6,7/4,8/10,11,13,15,17

Sandown (Hillside)
1,3,4,12/1,2,5,7,13/5,6,10/8,12,16

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