Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 5/2/16

Horse Racing betting

Wolf’s Best
Moonee Valley Race 7 No.10 Anatola – $2.30
At her previous start, blue-blooded filly Anatola made a leap that plenty have failed previously to accomplish – she came straight out of a debut maiden victory into a race against restricted older mares and won just as comprehensively as she did there – it’s the sign of a pretty smart galloper when they can do that sort of thing. She now takes on another set of fillies and older mares, admittedly a better bunch than what she handled last time out, but you still wouldn’t label them a talented group, perhaps outside of emergency Love And Emotion, but she has to firstly get a run and secondly she’d need to improve again to beat Anatola.

 

Circuit Bets
Walcha Race 5 No.7 Bowie’s Babe – $3.40
Bowie’s Babe has been in great form in her first prep as a three year old, she’s come back a stronger filly and fights hard in her races. She was way too good first up at Gunnedah, then had to do a little bit of work in a Highway race in town and it took its toll late, she then bounced back straight away by showing some grit to win at Muswellbrook. She goes up in grade again, but the Tamworth trained filly strikes a field of older types who are either quite limited or not at their best, and it looms as a very winnable race for her. She’ll either lead or be in the box seat from the inside gate and down on the limit weight she won’t be easy to get past.

Hobart Race 5 No.4 Nadaam – $10
If he can get across from the alley and lead, Nadaam has the ability to dictate this race from the front and prove very hard to run down at double figure odds. Thought he was very good last time out when having his first run in 6 weeks against older sprinters, getting ground down late by in form speedster Silver Bolt – that would have him spot on for this. Just want to see them be aggressive from the outset and make sure they find their way to the lead, or at worse, outside it.

Hobart Race 7 No.3 I Love It – $1.95
I Love It, winner of this race last year in dominant fashion, has run group one winners to a length at level weights and she meets a field here under those conditions that contains no other black type winners, let alone anything that comes close to a group one horse. She’s 3 from 5 first up, draws perfectly and we already know she handles the circuit – she just wins barring something very weird happening.

 

Wolf’s Bolter
Walcha Race 6 No.9 Touch Sensitive – $18
She’d been able to produce at the trials, but it took until her third start for Touch Sensitive to show her best under race conditions after she came out of two unplaced efforts at Newcastle and Warwick Farm, to trounce her rivals at Bathurst a fortnight ago. She did it at both ends there, using her superior gate speed to lead them up, before kicking clear for a comprehensive victory. It won’t be her last as the Hunter Valley trained filly has that ability to take up a position in running which is always a big plus for a racehorse. She’ll need to use it again here after drawing awkwardly in barrier 11 – if she can get across, or at the very least find a spot behind the leaders, then she can make it two straight.

 

Quaddie

Moonee Valley
2,7,9,10/1,5,6,10/10,13/3,5,8,10,12

Walcha
1,6,7/3,6,9/2,3,4,9/1,2,4,7

 

Discuss