Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 4/3/16

Horse Racing betting

Wolf’s Best
Donald Race 5 No.4 Last Typhoon – $2.90
The blue-blooded Last Typhoon, by Street Cry from former Australian Horse Of The Year Typhoon Tracy, finally broke through at the end of his first campaign for a win, coinciding with a step up to the 2000m trip of today’s race. You go back and look at the horses he was running placings behind in that prep and it reads like a pretty decent group – Multifacets (a city winner), Lizard Island (group one placed), and Tally (recent stakeswinner). Then the win was quite comprehensive too, and even though that wasn’t a deep maiden, he displayed nice staying potential. His first up run this time in was solid, he just couldn’t quicken with some his rivals there over an unsuitable trip, but he did enough to suggest with fitness and a rise in distance he’ll be winning again shortly. He’ll get his chance here against a moderate group of older middle distance/staying types – most of these either want further, or they have zero upside, or both. If he wins easily, then they must have a think about whether or not they could get him to a race like the SA Derby.

 

Circuit Bets

Albury Race 4 No.4 Ruark – $6
Heavily backed first up, Ruark had a genuine excuse for his failure there when choking down behind Matilda Bird. You have to forgive that – the Brett Cavanough trained gelding has already shown last prep that he’s got some ability and they will apply a tongue tie for the first time here to rectify that issue. It’s the same scenario as the other day – 1175m at Albury, against older horses at Class 3 level, but Ruark drops 2kgs from that last start and looks well in compared to that. This is one of those occasions where you just have to excuse what happened last start and you may find it’s a very lucrative choice.

Albury Race 7 No.2 Lampedusa – $5.50
After looking like a possible stakes class horse early in his career, Lampedusa never lived up to those heights. But he’s a capable sprinter around these parts and gets into what appears to be a highly suitable affair for him to return to the winner’s circle. Lady Henrietta will cross and attempt to lead from her wide draw, but outside of her there isn’t a whole heap of pace engaged, and Lampedusa should be able to get a sweet sit behind Lady Henrietta and be able to have every chance to run her down in the straight. He also gets the blinkers back on and he’s fairly well in at the weights – has to go close.

Sapphire Coast Race 7 No.4 Coolcat Dancer – $2.60
After almost a month between runs, Coolcat Dancer ran an outstanding race at Randwick last Saturday in the Highway Handicap behind the promising Appoint Percy. He led for a long way before feeling the pinch the last 200m or so, but given the circumstances it was a fantastic effort. He’s on the quick back-up here into this open handicap but that run should have topped him off fitness wise and he will go into this in better shape. If he was to improve on that run in town into this, then he would have to be hard to beat.

 

 

Quaddie

Cranbourne
1,3,4,7/3,5,7,9/1,3,4,5,6,12/1

Albury
2,3,4/3,4,8/2,4/1,3,8,10,11,14

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