Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 30/3/16

Horse Racing betting

Wolf’s Best
Wyong Race 3 No.3 Maraam – $2.60
After a decent break over late Spring and Summer, it’s quite apparent Maraam has come back a much more polished specimen of a racehorse and her dominant maiden win could just be the start of things to come. First up she had the race shot to bits, but knocked up the last 50m and Sonic Swish, who ran fourth in an open age race on Saturday, was able to kick back and beat her. They took her to Gosford two Thursdays ago and she annihilated six other fillies in a cakewalk – it was the win of a filly on her way to black type at some stage. This race now looks a nice progression as she stays against her own age, and although some of her rivals here have also been impressive winning of late, Maraam looks the most suited here, as Deploy may well be a better 1000m horse and Eschiele might be better in the wet.

Circuit Bets
Wyong Race 4 No.1 Something Secret – $6
You are basically betting on the fact whether Something Secret has come up this prep or not here – at her best she’d be much too good for these. She’s got form around the likes of Sweet Fire, Rockolicious and Lucky Can Be and comes out of two group races back to a restricted fillies and mares midweeker without much depth to it. She’ll sit off what should be a decent speed up front even with the small field engaged, she goes up to a more suitable trip of 1350m, and she gets the blinkers on for the first time in an effort to sharpen her up a touch. If she doesn’t win this, then it’s pull the plug on the prep me thinks.

Wyong Race 5 No.2 Sampeah – $2.80
Sampeah was a very classy juvenile that now returns as a gelding and that should bring out the best in him now at three. The Godolphin galloper takes on older horses here but essentially they are a limited bunch and by the way Sampeah has trialled in preparation for this campaign, he looks ready to return to the track a winner. They were quiet on him in the first trial, never really stoking him up behind runaway winner Craftiness, but he had clearly made significant improvement between that and his second trial as he looked fantastic winning that without being pushed around. Although he often raced back in the field at two, expect him to be closer in his races now – he’s got a nice turn of foot and they won’t want to waste that. If he comes up then you’d have to think the Brisbane carnival would be on the agenda.

Bendigo Race 7 No.3 Devilishly – $5
Although she has to take on older mares here, Devilishly is talented enough to win this against a field that drops away quickly depth wise. She’s taken them on at her past two, with no weight advantage, and performed admirably – firstly she was a little stiff behind Clemency, then she found the in form Kalidaz too good at Pakenham where she didn’t look 100% comfortable on a shifty track. This race doesn’t have any rivals with the same ability as those two who have beaten her recently, she’s going to get a gun run from the inside draw, and now she does get some weight relief with star apprentice Dylan Dunn claiming 1.5kgs on her. If she’s going to be heading richer races eventually, then she really should win this.

 

Wolf’s Bolter
Wyong Race 2 No.7 Assertin Mischief – $9
Really like what we witnessed from Assertin Mischief in her latest trial and she looks ready to put her best foot forward for raceday now. The daughter of More Than Ready is a granddaughter of former star Tulloch Lodge filly Assertive Lass and her mother is by Zabeel, so perhaps a middle distance trip might be more her go as her career progresses, and, if you look at her trials, that does seem to be what she’ll be looking for in the not too distant future. That most recent trial was a third behind quality filly Tempt Me Not where she missed the start a length or so and was obliged to race last most of the way, before following Tempt Me Not through a gap after they straightened and didn’t really lose any ground late despite not being under any great pressure, at the same time passing plenty that were given a rev up. Obviously the raced trio of Multizone, Unsinkable Sam and Lady Carnoustie have the form around them to be in the finish of what is a weakish maiden outside of those, but all three have a vulnerable feel to them and Assertin Mischief was better than Unsinkable Sam in that trial. If she does things right she can pull off the upset.

 

Quaddie

Wyong
1,3,8/2,7/2,8,11/1,4,6,7

Bendigo
1,2,4,8/1,3,4,5,6/3,10/9,11,12,15

Discuss