Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 30/04/16

Horse Racing betting

Wolf’s Best
Atom Eve (Hawkesbury Race 1, No.5)
This unbeaten filly should have little trouble keeping her perfect record in tact in the opener of the day at Hawkesbury. The last tome we saw her she beat Lord Von Costa and All Summer Long, with the latter going on to race exceptionally well behind subsequent Country Championships winner Clearly Inoocent. The only danger looks to be Noble Joey but with Kayla Nisbet’s 2kg claim there’s a 4kg difference in the weights. That’ll prove telling.

Circuit Bets
Danish Twist (Hawkesbury Race 5, No.7)
The scratching of Gamblestown leaves Danish Twist a standout option here. She has been flying this preparation and after a few near misses (and a Muswellbrook slaughter) she got her dues int eh Provincial Championship Final. Nobody rides Hawkesbury better than Brenton Avdulla and he should be able to smother her up from the inside gate before ripping home through the guts. The early $4.60 for a mare at the top of her game is more than fair.

Japhils (Caulfield Race 4, No.7) Willing to forget Japhils ever ran at Moonee Valley last start in the G2 Sunline Stakes. She raced very wide throughout with the winner Miss Rose De Lago bowling along out in front. That’s the role where Japhils does her best work and expect that to play out this time. She loves Caulfield and the drop back to 1100m will give her then chance to pinch this race from the favourite She’s Miss Devine. Japhils form two back behind French Emotion ties her in nicely to the favourite too.

Charmed Harmony (Caulfield Race 8, No.1)
He’s one of The Wolf’s stable stars. He’s flying yet you always get a price. Last start he was gobbled up in the shadows by Black Heart Bart over this same track and trip – and he was since an unlucky second in the G1 All Aged Stakes behind English.. Rises 4kg in weight from that run but there’s no Bart in this race. At his favourite track and over his favourite trip, he’ll be looking to post another win before heading to QLD for a tilt at the Straddie.

Quaddie
Hawkesbury
1,3,4,7 / 2,5,6,8,11 / 2,10 / 4,9,10.

Caulfield
5,6,7 / 1,2,3,5 / 1,2 / 1,2,4,16.

Bolter
Peace Force (Hawkesbury Race 6, No.4)
This mare is capable of bouncing back in a big way in the Godolphin Crown. The form guide reads ninth at Randwick first-up but the run was full of merit. She was dragged back from the wide gate and never in the hunt but her closing sectionals were deceptively strong. Second-up here she’ll possie up near the speed with that run under her belt and from the inside gate. Two Blue is another one the market looks to have underrated given she won so well last start. Could be a monster quinella!

Feature Racing
Victory Stakes (Doomben)
Fell Swoop was the breakout sprinter of the autumn. Should’ve won an Oakleigh Plate fresh before running fourth in the Galaxy and then splitting Chautauqua and English in the TJ Smith. It’s obviously strong form for a Victory Stakes! Off that it’s hard to argue that he should be any more than $1.65. Artlee is a horse The Wolf has plenty of time for and he was given a sore back first-up. Jockey switch here but stays 1200m when 1400m is his best trip. Might need one more. Respect Knoydart who jumped out of the ground with blinkers last start.

Hawkesbury Gold Cup (Hawkesbury)
Strawberry Boy was brave first-up and second-up last campaign off a similar let up he gave cheek against Lucky Hussler at the Magic Millions. He really ripped along in that race but with Ecuador here, he may not get that chance. That could set things up for a swooper. Amovatio is cherry ripe to win again after hitting the line in the Doncaster Prelude but the wide draw means he’ll need his fair share of luck. Respect Sons Of John first-up over the mile after three trials too.

Hawkesbury Guineas (Hawkesbury)
Handfast was impressive in the South Pacific. The blinkers on, back to 1400m and against his own age saw him turnaround a Gosford defeat in a big way. There was 2L back to second Santa Ana Lane and a further 5L back to third. His main threat looks to be Denmagic who has raced without any luck this preparation. If she can start clean and be handier, she’ll take holding out. Outside of those, willing to risk Spill The Beans over 1400m while Denpurr is the best smokey.

 

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