Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 28/09/16

Horse Racing betting

Wolf’s Best
Cottage (Rosehill, Race 5)
Cottage couldn’t have been more impressive fresh. This mare put the writing on the wall at the trials before cruising home at Wyong first-up. She deserves her shot in town now off that win and looks well placed here out to 1500m. Has 60kg to shoulder and comes up against proven city class runners like Labdien but she has enormous upside. The Godolphin blue have the team really humming at the moment.
Double Down: From the middle gate, J-Mac should have her camped just behind the speed. One out, one back would be ideal.
Confidence Level:

4-Chips

Circuit Bets
Magic Love (Ipswich, Race 2)
This mare has won two on the trot and looks set to bring up the hattrick. She won in this Class 2 grade last start and despite the sharp 4kg rise in weight, is well placed to keep the winning streak going. Drawn nicely, she should put herself right up on the pace again and Jeff Lloyd sticks, who has ridden her in both of her victories. Invincible Express will make her presence felt but she’ll be vulnerable late.
Double Down: Invincible Express is quick so want Jeff Lloyd to just camp off her in the run. Not engage in a speed battle.
Confidence Level:
4-5-Chips

Palladian (Rosehill, Race 2)
This is a deep three-year-old race but like the placement of Palladian for Team Hawkes. He trialled up well at Warwick Farm before a luckless second at Wyong fresh. Should’ve won. There are so many queries over his key rivals, which makes him an attractive bet at each-way odds. Not convinced Niccolance is going that well off his trials. Military Machine looks to be a wet tracker. While Star Of Monsoon has had enough chances already.
Double Down: He was ridden too negative at Wyong. Want Koby Jennings to use the gate to press forward, especially with the 2kg claim.
Confidence Level:
4-Chips

Curragh (Mornington, Race 5)
The Bussuttin and Young stable have hit the ground running in Australia since there move from New Zealand. Expect their hot run of form to continue at Mornington today with their four-year-old gelding Curragh. He was impressive first-up at Sale. Loved how soft he won on the line. Strips fitter for that and gets out a touch in trip. It all points to back-to-back wins.
Double Down: He settled midfield first-up and The Wolf maps it similarly here. Just don’t want him pocketed on the fence. Needs room.
Confidence Level:
3-5-Chips

Wolf’s Bolter
Tower Of Song (Rosehill, Race 7)
This five-year-old is right at his top now fourth-up and his fifth last start in Saturday company was better than it reads on paper. His late sectionals were as good as the race winner Invinzabeel. The wide gate makes things tough but it might force Mitch Bell’s hand into taking up the running, which The Wolf would like to see now that he is rock-hard fit.
Double Down: Would find it near impossible to win if ridden quiet from the wide gate. Need a positive early move.
Confidence Level:
1-Chips

Quaddies

Rosehill
7,10 / 3 / 8,9,16 / 4,9,10.

Mornington
1 / 5 / 1,5 / 1.

 

 

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