Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 27/08/16

Horse Racing betting

It’s the first Group One of the new racing season with the Memsie Stakes kicking off the spring. The Wolf has you covered with horse racing tips from Caulfield and Rosehill.

Wolf’s Best

Evacuation (Rosehill Race 3, No.4)
Evacuation is a rising star and The Wolf expects him to resume a winner. This More Than Ready colt couldn’t have been any more impressive at Kembla on debut stopping the clock at 56.20s over the 1000m. Gai Waterhouse tipped him straight out and even bypassed the Queensland winter riches to aim him up at the spring. The Wolf also has plenty of time for Sezanne but he expects Evacuation to be a genuine Golden Rose and Guineas player so should be winning this. His trials have been outstanding too.
Confidence Level:
4-Chips

horse racing offer

Circuit Bets

Leotie (Caulfield Race 1, No.3)
This filly charged late in the Quezette Stakes to just miss to I Am A Star. It’s was enormous run and even bigger when you consider it in the context of her staying pedigree. She put the writing on the wall to be a Thousand Guineas and Oaks player deeper into the carnival. She love the 1400m trip here and showed at her second start that she doesn’t have to settle out the back. She’ll be handy from the gate in this small field and take holding out. Sebrikka is the only danger but there’s a query on the depth of her form.
Confidence Level:
4-Chips

Encostanati (Rosehill Race 6, No.5)
Bjorn Baker is one the shrewdest trainers in the country at applying the blinkers at the right time and they’ve certainly done this trick with this gelding. He was trucking into his races but not finishing them off. That changed two back when he pinched a break on Burning Passion to win on a Heavy 10 at Randwick. he was then caught in the shadows at Rosehill out to 1350m. Back to 1200m, he’s rock-hard fit, loves the slop and again gets the services of the flying Deanne Panya.
Confidence Level:
3-Chips

Tom Melbourne (Caulfield Race 8, No.9)
He is a six-year-old but the best is still to come from him. He has won five of his eight starts so it’s scary to think how far he’ll go once he works it all out. He’ll roll forward from barrier 5 to take up the running and once he finds his rhythm, he’s very hard to run down. He smashed Divan first-up last preparation (albeit off a shorter spell). He has jumped out nicely in the lead up to this and he settled, which is very encouraging. He’s a cheeky Caulfield Cup hope.
Confidence Level:
3-5-Chips

Bolter

Kirani (Caulfield Race 4, No.1)
Now this is a bolter! He’s currently $61 but The Wolf wouldn’t be surprised if he drifted out even further. This six-year-old never travelled down the straight last start so forgive him that effort. He does his best work first and second-up so expect him to bounce back to his best form here, back to a track with a bend. His last campaign was highlighted by a dominant victory in the Sale Quality beating Danestroem. He is also a proven weight carrier.

1-Chips

Quaddies

Rosehill
4,5,6 / 1,3,4,9,10 / 3,6,10 / 2,3,5,9.

Caulfield
1,2,3,5 / 2 / 4,7,9 / 1,2,8,13.

 

Feature Races

Memsie Stakes (Caulfield)
The more The Wolf looks at the Memsie Stakes, the more he likes his tip pick. Check out his first Runner By Runner guide of the season.

Heath 1100 Stakes (Caulfield)
There are only a handful of genuine winning chances and although The Wolf concedes Under The Louvre is one of them, he can’t have him at the price. He’ll spot this field another huge start and lose more than he’ll win with that style. Every chance he loses touch with the tearaway leader Redzel. Miss Promiscuity maps beautifully and flies fresh while Hellbent had plenty of improvement in him after Sandown. Hellbent each way.

McNeil Stakes (Caulfield)
David Hayes has a very strong hand here and accounts for three of The Wolf’s four runners in the quaddie leg. Perhaps the least heralded of them is Blue Tycoon and The Wolf has him on top from the inside draw. His recent jumpout was particularly sharp and love his will to win. Tipping Seaburge will be the one to train on as a WFA horse eventually. He can win this but want to see him first-up. The other is Highland Beat. Then there’s NSW raider Defcon. He’s got a devastating short, sharp sprint and draws perfectly be cuddled up before unleashing.

Run To The Rose (Rosehill)
Don’t know where to look! On paper, it looks a particularly strong crop of three-year-olds. Star Turn is the early favourite after an impressive San Domenico Stakes win. And far enough too given he already has the runs on the board this spring. Mediterranean is another with a fitness edge on his rivals. Suspect he is looking for 1400m now though. The half to Winx, El Divino looks set for a massive carnival. Not overly keen on his barrier 1 draw though. He’s The Wolf’s early Guineas tip. Then there’s the Godolphin quartet! Star Turn on top.

 

Discuss