Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 27/04/16

Horse Racing betting

Wolf’s Best
Canterbury Race 5 No.3 Hand From Above
He was slightly disappointing in his first-up run after being gelded but The Wolf won’t be turning his back on him just yet. Has great early speed which will allow him to get right up on the bunny from the inside draw and with the rail out 6m that’s exactly where you’ll want to be. We saw a similar pattern when he won at Kembla late last year and following his fresh run he should be cherry ripe to strike now. Has placed in all four starts and a win here will make it three wins from five.

Circuit Bets
Canterbury Race 3, No.9 Sound Works
This filly trialled up brilliantly at Randwick suggesting she’d be knocking off her maiden in no time. That should have happened first-up at Canterbury but for a poor Reith steer. She was pulled out the back from the wide gate and was never clear. She should have won. Drops back 100m here which isn’t ideal but she has the talent to overcome it and from a better barrier, can settle closer. Surprised she isn’t favourite.

Sandown Race 2 No.5 Sacred Days
The Wolf has a bit of time for this Dubleo three-year-old in the Tony McEvoy yard. He impressed at the trials before being outsped on debut in SA in a hectically run 1100m maiden. He found the 1300m much more to his liking last start and despite looking like he was going to drop out he rallied to run second. The 1400m at Sandown looks perfect now and so does the astute booking of strong rider Nick Hall. Wary of Pajados first-up but he concedes a big fitness advantage.

Canterbury Race 4 No.1 Tsaritsa
The Wolf has little doubt that she is the best horse in the race so the $5.50 is worth a play first-up. She has plenty of weight but with a 56kg minimum and a 2kg apprentice claim, she gets in okay. Three months between runs and no trial is generally a turn off but it’s a formula Chris Waller has been tinkering with lately so happy to back the gun trainer’s judgement. Tipping this will launch he Brisbane campaign where she’ll measure up in much better races.

Wolf’s Bolter
Canterbury Race 6 No.6 Be Like Dad
Don’t be surprised to see Be Like Dad run a big race here at $20+. His last four runs have been excellent and he has shown in his last two that he is up to midweek city class at this time of year. Two back he was hammered by Falkenberg but it was class record time and she finished near subsequent winners Montignac and Rodrico. He was then a similar distance behind Montignac at his next outing finishing third beaten 1.1L. Montignac starts a short priced favourite if she ran here as a guide. Unbiased hardest to beat.

Quaddies
Sandown
2,4,8,11 / 1,4,9,11,12 / 8,10,13 / 2,6.

Canterbury
1,2,8 / 2,3 / 6,9 / 4,6,9.

 

 

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