Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 26/1/16

Horse Racing betting

Wolf’s Best
Caulfield Race 1 No.3 Fast Approaching – $3
Fast Approaching has turned the corner her last two starts and comes back to mares grade here, after beating the boys last time out, for what looks like a highly suitable affair. She’s now 2 for 2 over the 1400m at Caulfield, which is what she’ll contest again here, she draws to get another perfect run in transit, and the form out of her last start win has been franked somewhat with the third place horse there, Tuff Host, winning the last at Moonee Valley on Saturday. The biggest turnaround for this mare has been the ability to get her to settle better in her races – we are seeing the results of that now and it may be the making of her heading towards some black type.

 

Circuit Bets
Randwick Race 4 No.4 Thud – $6
Starting to come to the conclusion that Snowden trained mare Thud is a wet tracker. Not a mare that can only win in the wet, but one that certainly improves a fair bit when faced with it. She was ok last time out on a good track when fifth to one of her rivals here in Palazzo Publico – it wasn’t a bad effort, but with the likely soggy conditions they are going to have to deal with here, Thud can turn that result around. The other big plus is the booking of Hugh Bowman replacing the apprentice – that’s a huge advantage from the other day – think the daughter of Snitzel can finally break through this time in.

Randwick Race 5 No.4 Kanji – $7.50
After a great win second up, Kanji raced like a horse that was looking for further when slightly disappointing last start behind Piamimi. Throw in the fact that he was bogged down a bit on the inside which wasn’t the place to be that day, you can be forgiving of that effort and that mindset could pay dividends here. He now gets up to the 2000m, which is probably his perfect trip at this stage of his career and he should be in the ideal spot in running here from the nice draw. He’s got no issues handling a soft track either as evidenced by his win last prep at Warwick Farm on a Heavy surface. Quite keen that he can turn it around from that last run.

Caulfield Race 3 No.5 Cohesion – $4.40
Cohesion isn’t, and won’t be, the only horse to have his colours lowered by Golden Slipper favourite Capitalist – he was second pick in the market behind the star colt when they lined up in the Breeders’ Plate but he was simply no match for the eventual Magic Millions hero when finishing fourth. Godolphin spelled him immediately and we now see him reappear for a prep aimed towards the Blue Diamond, most likely a race that Capitalist will bypass, and it could well be that Cohesion can step up and find himself a group one to conquer. He trialled at Sandown almost a fortnight ago and looked in superb nick, hardly being asked for an effort when kicking well clear of his three rivals. That will have tuned up for this, the biggest concern here being the gate and whereabouts he’ll end up in the run – if he gets in somewhere with cover he could still sit a little wide and win this with just the one turn.

Sunshine Coast Race 9 No.10 – Murt The Flirt – $4.80
Victorian trained gelding Murt The Flirt brings a very good formline into this listed event and he looks ready to notch up a deserved stakes victory. The son of Murtajill was superb winning a quality event first up, then, being a Magic Millions graduate, he came to Wyong for a lead up to the Gold Coast where he carried a big weight into third behind a pair of very classy fillies in Flippant and Egyptian Symbol. He then lined up in the rich Magic Millions Cup and had to do a lot of the hard chasing behind Strawberry Boy before wilting a touch late as multiple group one winner Lucky Hussler took the prize home. He now lines up in a race where he’s down on the limit against a field of Queensland handicappers who, whilst all very capable at varying degrees, probably don’t have his upside and he looks to be the “new blood” in the field. He’s drawn well, he’s rock hard fit now and he should go very close in this.

 

Wolf’s┬áBolter
Randwick Race 8 No.17 Rhodin Drive – $15
Although he’s yet to win a race in town, Kembla trained gelding Rhodin Drive has produced some nice efforts in quality events throughout his career and he looms as a blowout chance in this. He gets two big ticks – firstly he’s got two wins and a second from his previous three first up attempts, and secondly he’s quite capable on a wet surface, with two of his wins coming under those type of conditions. This isn’t a bad field he lines up against here, but you can find a few question marks with some of the others in the market, whether it be the distance, their form, or their ability to handle a soft track, so at around the $15 quote Rhodin Drive appeals.

 

Quaddie

Randwick
4,6,10/5,9/2,5,10,13,14,17/3,7,14,17

Caulfield
2,3,9/1,3,9/2,3,11/2,6,8,13

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