Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 24/09/16

Horse Racing betting

Caulfield takes the spotlight this Saturday with the running of two Group Ones – the Underwood Stakes and Sir Rupert Clarke. The Wolf also plans on getting his fill at Rosehill.

Wolf’s Best

High Mist (Rosehill Race 6, No.3)
High Mist is a colt on a steep upward spiral. This son of High Chaparral always gave the impression he’d train on as a three-year-old. He was luckless behind Swear first-up (who lines up here too) before being served up an easy kill at Warwick Farm, albeit against older horses. Back to his own age here in the G3 Gloaming Stakes and out to 1800m looks an ideal recipe for him to record back-to-back wins. Loses Hugh Bowman, who was actually suspended on this very horse last start, but Glyn Schofield should be able to get him home. Prized Icon looms as the danger but he has to bounce back from a disastrous Chelmsford Stakes finish.
Double Down: Maps to be a couple of pairs back on the fence. Just needs some room to move. If he found an outside running line that’d be ideal. Over to you Glyn.

Confidence Level:
4-Chips

Circuit Bets

Super Cash (Caulfield Race 1, No.4)
This mare looks beatufifully placed to launch her spring with a win in the opener at Caulfield. First-up last time in she ran third to Almighty Girl and Secret Agenda. That stacks up nicely for this. She then beat Sooboog second-up down the straight before running into the likes of Don’t Doubt Mamma and Faatinah. Take Pride and Sheree should ensure the pace is genuine and with a midfield suck, doubt any of these will be able to hold her out.
Double Down: Want the speed to be on and for Super Cash to be travelling sweetly just worse than midfield.

Confidence Level:
3-5-Chips

Invincibella (Rosehill Race 4, No.2)
How often do Chris Waller two-year-olds come back from a Queensland preparation to blossom as three-year-olds? Case in point for this filly. She carried some riresidual fitness so was only sent around once at the trials but she was still vulnerable first-up. However, she dug in for the fight to get a narrow verdict. That was against the boys too. She’ll need to improve a few levels off that to win this but she is very capable to doing that.
Double Down: J-Mac should be able to use the good draw. She’s a versatile filly. One out, one back too much to ask?

Confidence Level:
4-Chips

Black Tomahawk (Caulfield Race 2, No.5)
This seven-year-old has run four straight seconds but gets his chance to earn another win here. Interesting that Craig Williams gets the boot after last start. He was too cute and just went down to Lucques. Gets in on the minimum with 54kg and he’s the definition of rock-hard fit. He catches a few of his key rivals a run or two short of hitting their peak. One of those is The Bandit who was outstanding first-up but jumps sharply out to 2400m second-up.
Double Down: Expect him to be in the first couple. Not overly concerned where he lobs, just as long as he finds a good rhythm.

Confidence Level:
3-5-Chips

Bolter

Sea Lord (Caulfield Race 9, No.4)
He is getting a bit long in the tooth but don’t let that fool you into thinking he won’t run a big race first-up. The last time we saw him he gave Gregers a galloping lesson! Can be hard to catch but he is capable of pulling out a massive run from time to time. Going by his impressive recent jumpout, that could be fresh. He’s currently $61 and worth a small each-way ticket on spec.
Double Down: Market support just as important as the map. Want to see a tickle at the big odds  Then for him to settle in the first half from the good draw.

1-Chips

Quaddies

Caulfield
2,3,6,9 / 6,7,11,16 / 2,6,11 / 1,4,7,11,12.

Rosehill
1,3 / 1,2,10 / 4,5,7 / 3,4,10.

Feature Races

Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes (Caulfield)
The Wolf has a $31 shot in third. Runner By Runner Guide.

Underwood Stakes (Caulfield)
Black Heart Bart to run third. Read the full Runner By Runner Guide.

Caulfield Guineas Prelude (Caulfield)
Evacuation did The Wolf proud first-up and although he has the talent to win this, the barrier is horrendous. Not sure where he finds himself from out there. Tipping it’ll eventually be the front but after spending how much early petrol? Archives and Saeacino fought out the finish in the Danehill and that form should stack up here. Archives to turn the tables out to 1400m. However, the one The Wolf has landed on is Seaburge. Had no luck last start. Blinkers on first time and ready to fire third-up. Risking Sacred Elixir.

Golden Pendant (Rosehill)
Classy mare First Seal launches her spring and holds the key here. Her trials and the race track whispers suggest she is going as well as ever. She is brilliant at her best. Tycoon Tara is rock hard fit and mixing it against the boys. Heavens Above was huge winning back to 1200m last start and the 1400m is perfect now. But the best for last is Dixie Blossoms. She’s still not clear in the Sheraco and as far as 12ths go, it was as good as you’ll see. Backing Dixie Blossoms and saving on First Seal.

 

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