Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 23/04/16

Horse Racing betting

Wolf’s Best
Francais (Caulfield Race 6, No.7)
Looks beautifully placed at Caulfield. This filly has only won two from 12 but her form lines suggest another win is very close. Three back at Kembla she split Queen Of Wands (since third in the Carbine behind He’s Our Rokkii) and Sheilarized (since bolted in by 4L ay Wyong). She then wasn’t far off Yattarna at Wyong and she won a Group Three last week. The latest run of Francais was middling but she wasn’t suited back to 1200m. Chris Waller has made an art of picking off the right races in Melbourne.

Circuit Bets
Raw Impulse (Caulfield Race 3, No.5)
This import looks a future top liner in the making. Broke the Moonee Valley track record on his Aussie debut and looks even better suited out to 1800m. He’s got all of the exposed runners easily covered. Slight query over Lloyd Williams’ Bantry Bay and Morning Mix but their form suggests they are genuine stayers. There is more speed in the legs of Raw Impulse and should get the job done here at the even money quote.

Chandana (Rosehill Race 5, No.8)
A couple jump out of the ground in Queensland for Chris Waller every year – think Zoustar, Brazen Beau, Sadler’s Lake, Hawkspur and even the mighty mare Winx. Reckon Oaks-bound Chandana is that horse this season. She was an eye-catcher first-up at Randwick but found the 1400m a touch sharp. Hugh Bowman booked now so the stable means business. Expect Hugh to stick for the entire campaign. Something The Wolf advises you do too. Starting here at Rosehill.

Mogador (Rosehill Race 9, No.10)
This three-year-old colt was a touch plain in the Zedative at Caulfield the last time we saw him but willing to forgive that. Was tipped out straight after. Has tuned up with a great trial at Warwick Farm where he hit the line hard under no riding. Drawn to get a midfield smother and with J-Mac steering, he’ll be ripping home over the top of this field. Needs a confidence booster and should get that in the lucky last here.

Quaddie
Rosehill
1,5,7,10 / 2,7,9,10 / 6,7,11,12 / 3,10,13.

Caulfield
1,4,7,11 / 3,4,6 / 1,2,4,13 / 1,12,14.

Bolter
Pure Pride (Morphettville Race 7, No.17)
Capacity field of 20 line up in the Auraria this year, a key lead up to the SA Oaks. It makes it hard to find the winner but not hard to spot a bit of value. This filly has only had three starts but The Wolf likes what he sees. Ran fifth behind the flying Bengal Cat last start and was less than a length from Silent Sedition who is the $4.40F in this race. Out of Shocking, she should eat up the 1800m. Deserves much more respect in the market, even though she has drawn off the track.

Feature Racing
Bel Esprit Stakes (Caulfield)
Under The Louvre is a genuine Group One class sprinter on his day. Thing is though, he needs the cards to fall his way. He has 60kg and drawn to give the field a start but at $5.50 The Wolf is willing to play. Loves Caulfield (8:2-4-1) and flies fresh. Be a tad forgiving of Pittsburgh Flyer in Sydney. For whatever reason, she never fires there. Throw on pacers That’s A Good Idea and Bullpit into the multiples. Willing to bet around favourite Sheidel.

Irwin Stakes (Morphettville)
Tuscan Sling has Azkadellia’s hoof prints all over her last two runs. She beat the subsequent Doncaster placegetter and Queen Of The Turf winner two back! Freshened and drops back to 1100m but doubt that stops her here. Will just need the runs at the right time from the inside barrier. Respect Runway Star on debut for Stokes while Northern Zhar is better than a $17 shot. He improved sharply to win second-up last campaign off a similar first-up effort.

Redelva Stakes (Morphettville)
Miss Gunpowder went down fighting first-up but shouldn’t have lost any admirers. She chased hard from the awkward gate and her sectionals suggested she couldn’t have done much more to win. Only had one trial going into that so bound to strip fitter and drawn to get a very cosy run this week. Don’t Doubt Mamma is a talented filly but back to 1100m is a massive query. It might all be over by the time she hits top gear. Super Cash is going well but Miss Gunpowder had her measure in the spring. Surprised how short she is in this. Have to respect Viddora.

 

 

 

Discuss