Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 22/1/16

Horse Racing betting

Wolf’s Best
Cranbourne Race 6 No.5 Anatola – $2.30
It was hard not to be impressed with Anatola’s debut win – it reeked of a filly with at worst stakes class ability and the form has been franked with the runner-up there, Reward The Dream, bolting in at Geelong midweek. The manner in which she won was dominant – she jumped well, used her obviously abundant early speed to cross and lead without ever being under any real pressure, came back underneath the jock, then cornered like a greyhound and racing away under a light hands and heels ride, before being eased down late. She takes on older mares now but it shouldn’t matter, she’s clearly blessed with above average ability and should be way too good.

 

Circuit Bets

Canterbury Race 3 No.3 Southern Legend – $5
This now the third time The Wolf has made Southern Legend a special in the past fortnight, the wet weather has put an end to the previous two attempts to see the son of Not A Single Doubt kick off his second campaign, but that shouldn’t be a concern for this. As explained previously he looks a nice galloper in the making – the form out of his first two starts, where he was beaten by Hellbent and eventual group one winner Japonisme, looks great – he was especially stiff behind the latter before going for a spell. He has trialled outstandingly in preparation for this, the only concern here is the gate – Tim Clark will need to give him a good steer from that awkward draw, he may need to go back and find some cover on him. If he gets a decent run in transit he has the class to beat these.

Canterbury Race 5 No.2 Fabrizio – $5.50
He’s the least experienced horse lining up for this race, but Fabrizio has the most upside and he looks a galloper on the rise. He’s first up win at Kembla was outstanding – he jumped well, led at a good clip, extended nicely when asked after straightening, and held off the challenge of Bit Of A Cheek late with a huge gap to third – he was out on his feet the last 100m, so the run would have done him the world of good, and he looks like a horse that’s definitely capable of getting a mile plus. This race looks a nice progression for him, and although that previous run was 6 weeks ago, he’s been to the trials since and won, so there shouldn’t be a fitness issue now. Think he’ll be very hard to run down.

Cranbourne Race 2 No.3 Daniela Rosa – $5
Talented colt Golden Spin has been one of the finds of the Summer months and Daniela Rosa really put it to him on debut before just fading late. It was a great effort considering what he’s done since, as well as the fact that she had to work to sit outside him in that. She was spelled immediately after that and now finds herself in a maiden without a whole heap of depth to it for her first run back. She can hopefully be right up on the speed again here, perhaps even lead and dictate, and be too classy for this lot.

Bathurst Race 3 No.8 Cadman – $4.50
Cadman had trialled well in the lead up to what was a nice first up effort behind Bright Future before he was just simply outclassed at Canterbury last time out. He now comes back to the bush for a maiden without much decent form around his rivals and will be much more suited here. Obviously the biggest concern is the draw, he probably doesn’t have the speed to cross and lead, so it may be a case of having to find some cover on him – if Blake Spriggs can manage to do that, Cadman will be right in the finish.

Colac Race 4 No.10 Scarteen – $1.70
It was a solid effort on debut from Scarteen when fourth behind Grand Faith – she half missed the kick and had to be ridden a touch to take a forward position outside the leader, over-raced a bit after that, had to chase when the leader decided to go and was a little one paced before being overhauled late. She looks the type of filly that will appreciate longer, and she’ll be better of ridden with a little bit of cover. She goes up to the mile now and gets into quite a weak looking maiden – she can get one up on the board here and they’ll aim towards middle distance races after this.

 

Wolf’s Bolter

Canterbury Race 2 No.13 Vienna Waltz – $21
Not much went right for Vienna Waltz on debut – she couldn’t cross and lead and was used up a little at the start attempting to do so, and most importantly she never handled the track. The run would have still done her some favours experience and fitness wise and the filly that won the race might be pretty smart. Think she’ll find Canterbury on a good surface much more to her liking, she has the speed to lead these up, and she carries no weight on her back after James Innes Jnr’s 3 kilo claim. She could go out and prove that her first start is not a true representation of her ability.

 

Quaddie

Canterbury
1,6,8/2,4,10/1,2,5,8/3,4,11

Cranbourne
1,3,4,5,7,8/5/1,3,9,10,11/1,10,11

Discuss