Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 21/05/16

Horse Racing betting

Wolf’s Best
Tsaritsa (Rosehill Race 5, No.5)
Tsaritsa is a filly destined for Group company. The Wolf has a sneaky suspicion that this Dane Shadow three-year-old could be the next big thing to come out of the Chris Waller stable. She has won two from five but was luckless in all three defeats. The manner in which she returned at Canterbury first-up, without a trial, suggests she’s in for a breakout preparation. She’s got a devastating turn of foot. Follow her right to the top. Five chips.
Confidence Level:

Circuit Bets
Astronomos (Doomben Race 2, No.1)
This five-year-old has an outstanding record for a middle-distance horse with six wins from 11 starts. He was held up and stiff at Doomben first-up so it should be seven from 11. Out to 2000m suits him even better and he is undefeated second-up. The recently relocated David Vandyke stable has hit the ground running in Queensland.  Will just need a few breaks from the inside gate but if he gets them, he’ll win comfortably.
Confidence Level:

Demonstrate (Flemington Race 8, No.19)
Has run a string of frustrating placings this prep but make no mistake, this three-year-old is flying. He was snagged back from last at Moonee Valley first-up and charged late for second. He was then no match for Rageese before the barrier again proved costly at Morphettville where he broke 11s home for his last 200m behind Faatinah and Sooboog. He takes on the older horses here but gets down to 54kg. Include Heart Testa in the exotics at odds. Great jumpouts.
Confidence Level:

Artlee (Doomben Race 5, No.4)
The Wolf has been waiting patiently for Artlee to get out to this trip. Now is the time you want to be on. There’s plenty of speed engaged in this year’s edition of the BRC Sprint with Charmed Harmony, Religify and to a lesser extent, Coolring hunting forward. Artlee draws to camp a pair back and unleash his massive turn of foot once the gaps appear. The only other time he ran on the quick back-up was his Country Championship romp. Good signs.
Confidence Level:

4,7 / 1,3,7,9,11,16 / 1,2,4 / 1,3,6.

4,5,9 / 5,8,10 / 3,5,11 / 3,4,5,8.

2,5,9 / 1,2,5,6,9 / 3,11,12,14,15 / 3,4,8,11.

2,7,10 / 3,9,12,15 / 1,19 / 1,3,4,12,15.

My Bantry Bay (Flemington Race 7, No.12)
This Lloyd Williams-owned import had genuine excuses at Flemington last start when running into a fierce headwind. He looked the winner but hit a wall late. Prior to that he turned in a big Aussie debut behind Raw Impulse. Drops to 54kg for the  Andrew Ramsden Stakes and gets out to the two miles. Has the quality to bounce back and very much doubt he starts double figure odds come jump. Think that Flemington 2000m race is the strongest form line so The Bandit looks overs too.

Feature Racing
Doomben Cup (Doomben)
“There’s a real sense of time about this four-year-old.” The Wolf’s Runner By Runner Guide.

Goodwood (Morphettville)
Black Heart Bart is a deserved favourite but back to 1200m is some concern. Think 1400m to a mile is his best trip. Drawn to get a very soft trail though. Supido is building an outstanding record but has been protected by Mick Kent so far. Needs to stand up at this level now. Tassie four-year-old Admiral ran Supido to half a length at Flemington first-up. Meets him 3.5kg better off and strips fitter. He’s the bet at $13. Under The Louvre goes into the quaddie. Respect the speedy Super One too.

The Roses (Doomben)
What a race! 16 runners and luck will play a huge part. Imposing lass is the early favourite and has strung three straight wins together but has to overcome a horror barrier here. There’s a good chance she’s posted in no mans land. Falkenberg’s Bracelet run was every bit as good as Imposing Lass’, recovering from a slow start. Drawn 6 she should get the run of the race. Don’t let the local Lyricist get under your guard. Still on the up and should relish the 2000m.

Fred Best Classic (Doomben)
Rageese has thrived under the care of Darren Weir. His two wins have been outstanding. Sir Bacchus has also recorded two massive wins this campaign. Throw Counterattack and star Kiwi Rangipo into the mix and it’s a very deep Fred Best. Barriers give Sir Bacchus the edge as he maps to settle in front of Rageese and with the closing sectionals he has been running and Hugh Bowman steering, it’s hard to see anything coming from behind to beat him.