Sandown (Lakeside) Race 1 No.11 Tessabelle – $3.40
This appears to be a lovely race for Tessabelle to finally break through in after two gallant efforts back from a spell. She looks the only genuine on pace runner in the field and she’ll go straight to the front and attempt to dictate proceedings now that she’s up to the 1500m trip. The form around her from last campaign looks solid and the field she tackles here doesn’t seem to contain as many promising types as some of those races did. From the good draw, under the set weight conditions and with no one to pester her think she’ll be mightily hard to get past.
Newcastle Race 7 No.1 Powerline – $6.50
Powerline is a little underrated and seemingly often goes around at a price well above what it should be. It happened last prep when he started double figure odds when winning a heat of the Provincial Championship at Gosford, then again first up this prep when he started $8 in a Class 4 at the same track, then again last start when he was $21 in another Provincial Championship heat at Wyong running on strongly for fifth behind Supreme Effort and His Majesty. He comes into this now about as fit as he could be after four runs back and it looks as though the speed will be on here early with the likes of Mosstar, Triple Hero and Hawaiian Rose engaged – think they may sit a touch closer on Powerline than what they did last start but he’s still more comfortable when ridden off the pace. He’ll get his chance to finish over the top of them.
Sandown (Lakeside) Race 4 No.8 Honourable Tycoon – $2.80
In strikingly similar circumstances to our best bet of the day, Honourable Tycoon is trained by Mark Kavanagh, will be ridden by Craig Williams, races in the same silks and has drawn barrier 2 – and he can win in exactly the same manner as his maiden stablemate. Honourable Tycoon certainly deserved his last start win after a run of placings, he goes up in grade now but this race is just as suitable with no other speed in the field. The son of Written Tycoon should be able to lead them up, get left alone with little pressure, and produce a strong kick when asked for his best.
Newcastle Race 4 No.5 Kabuki – $12
Liking the improvement we have witnessed from Kabuki at the trials – the son of Street Cry was near the back for most of his first trial this time in, he then travelled up nicely in the second trial before holding his spot late, but in his most recent trial the Godolphin gelding displayed a nice turn of foot when given a shake up to run down Potent Force who was under a lot more pressure than him. Think it’s always a positive sign when a horse can make those progressions at the trials and it bodes well for him to come out on raceday and make similar improvement. This is not a bad little juvenile race he finds himself in and there’s two stablemates engaged as well, with James McDonald opting to ride Wine, who’s had the one run when third on debut at Warwick Farm. He looks the likely favourite but I’d be surprised if there really is much difference between the two ability wise and J-Mac might just be leaning Wine’s way due to his experience. Tommy Berry will give Kabuki every chance from barrier three and think he can upset his more fancied rivals.