Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 16/07/16

Horse Racing betting

Wolf’s Best
Obsidian (Rosehill Race 5, No.10)
Obsidian has his hoof on the till. This five-year-old import showed very little in his first Australian preparation but having been gelded over his spell, he’s returned a different animal. He hit the line sweetly first-up over 1300m before motoring home at Rosehill with the wide gate proving costly. Should be able to settle closer from barrier 6 here. That tactical advantage, along with the weight pull from last start, gives him the edge of his stablemate Consign.
Confidence Level:
4-Chips

Circuit Bets
Longeron (Caulfield Race 4, No.1)
It’s taken until he turned six but this gelding is finally starting to put it all together. Has won two on the trot and doubt the 59kg (up 1.5kg from last start) will stop him bringing up the hattrick. Controlled the race over this track and trip and was the winner a long way from home. Loved the burst of speed he had when Dwayne Dunn asked him to go. Placed to win again.
Confidence Level:
3-Chips

Classic Uniform (Rosehill Race 2, No.3)
This three-year-old has been on The Wolf’s radar all preparation. He’s yet to collect but with a more aggressive ride, he’ll be winning. His strength is his cruising speed and although he was only nailed on the post last start, Tim Clark should have booted him clear earlier. Sam Clipperton goes on here and if the tactics are to really make his rivals chase him, The Wolf doubts they’ll catch him this time.
Confidence Level:
3-Chips

Wild Rain (Caulfield Race 8, No.13)
Backing in this mare to take out the G2 Sir John Monash Stakes. She is dynamite over the 1000/1100m range and after a very slick jumpout at Flemington, she’s going to take some holding out fresh. Especially with Ollie in the saddle. All going to plan she’ll cart across with Lord Of The Song and tag him into the straight before letting down. Respect Girl Guide who has been rejuvenated with Maher. Always willing to risk non-winner Fast ‘n’ Rocking.
Confidence Level:
3-5-Chips

Quaddies
Rosehill
3,5,9,10 / 1,3,8 / 1,7,10 / 1,3,4,6.

Caulfield
1,5,9 / 1,3,5,8 / 12,13,14 / 3,7,8.

Bolter
Miss Softhands (Caulfield Race 9, No.3)
This mare ticks plenty of boxes here for a $12 hope. She was a brilliant winner first-up last preparation at Sale before winning at Sandown and then Flemington. She boasts a 5:2-2-1 fresh record and is a winner at her only Caulfield start. The bar plates going on suggests she has feet issues but it also means we’ll likely get a bigger price. Just as we did for Clearly Innocent when the bar plates went on.
Confidence Level:
2-Chips

Feature Races
R7 Benchmark (Rosehill)
El Sasso was a dominant winner first-up. Respect that the Snowdens skipped the Ramornie (where he was the pre-post favourite) in favour of this. He’s the one to beat off that but don’t discount the chances of the Painte who was bogged down in the heavy conditions at Randwick last week with a big weight. He’s rock hard fit and flying. The best blowout looks to be Forget after two trials.

Winter Stakes (Rosehill)
Plenty of chances with Ninth Legion the early favourite chasing three straight. He’ll need to work across to be handy to win again as there doesn’t look to be enough speed for him to get home over the top. That has The Wolf looking towards Oxford Poet. He’s ready to win and should get on pace favours. Best value is fellow leader Shadow Lord. Plummets in weight and wants 1400m now.

Queensland Cup (Eagle Farm)
Murphy’s Delight has a great grounding for this. Two back he ran in the two mile Stayers Cup at Randwick and was only beaten by stablemate Opinion. Last start he had his chance over 2600m but was one paced. With the Chris Waller polish, he’s the one to beat. Ex-Waller Instrumentalist also has claims given his form lines though Real Love, Amexed and Maurus.

 

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