Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 14/09/16

Horse Racing betting

Wolf’s Best
Drachenfels (Warwick Farm, Race 3)
Drachenfels has always had big raps on him and now is the time for him to start delivering. Punters are entitled to be filthy with him having been rolled in his two starts at $1.60 and then $2.20 but he’s had excuses on both occasions. Not to mention both horses that beat him have since won again, including Detetcive who saluted in a Listed race at Flemington. Gets the blinkers on first time, drawn nicely and 1400m again looks perfect.
Double Down: Maps to tuck in behind but won’t want to be a couple back hemmed in on the fence. Wants some room.
Confidence Level:

Circuit Bets
Angel’s Touch (Pakenham, Race 4)
Darren Weir has this mare really humming at the moment. She’s on trial out to this trip but she gives no indication that it will be a problem. She has won three of six this campaign and although would have been ever better suited on a wet Bendio surface it shouldn’t matter with the transfer to Pakenham. She is rock hard fit, loves the slop and has the Weir polish over a staying journey. Looks the winner.
Double Down: Expect her to travel in the first couple. And find her rhythm. Should all go to plan.
Confidence Level:

Fantasize (Warwick Farm, Race 7)
Like the way this mare is ticking over this preparation and she looks ready to win fourth-up and out to 1400m. She wasn’t all that far away from talented filly Sezanne last start. She has been lumped with 61kg but she’s a proven weight carrier so doubt that pulls her up. From the barrier she should settle just worse than midfield before ripping home out widest.
Double Down: Pay close attention to the tempo up front. Ideally, Gai’s two and Hawaiian Rose set a fast tempo.
Confidence Level:

Octavian Augustus (Warwick Farm, Race 8)
This colt looks nicely placed her by Chris Waller. He burst onto the scene with a big win at Newcastle before failing in town after being heavily backed. That was behind Foxplay who won impressively first-up this preparation. He carries just 54kg and maps to get the run of the race. Liked the way he worked to the line in his two trials. Want to be with him in the early spring.
Double Down: One out, one back please. Wary that Jason Collett can get panicked when the gas don’t appear straight away.
Confidence Level:

Wolf’s Bolter
Warrior Of Justice (Pakenham, Race 3)
This three-year-old son of Rothesay won like a smart horse on debut at Echuca. He charged through the line suggesting he was capable of rolling through the grades. With Into Orbit scratched, The Wolf is surprised he is still rated a $9.50 chance. No doubt it’s a deep midweeker with the likes of I’m Telling Ya, Big Phil and Hay Bale among the fancies but he’s right up there with those in terms of natural ability.
Double Down: Settled at the back of a small field on debut. Expect him to be towards the tail again so want some tempo up front and for Parnham to be on his bike early.
Confidence Level:

1,3,4 / 6,10,11 / 5,8 / 4,12.

Warwick Farm
2,4,7 / 4,5,6 / 1,3 / 6,11,16.