Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 14/05/16

Horse Racing betting

Wolf’s Best
Duca Valentinois (Scone Race 1, No.3)
Should have little trouble taking out the opener at Scone. This four-year-old has finally settled into his Australian life. Won well first-up before only fitness beat him at Hawkesbury when jumping straight out to 2100m second-up. The two tearaway leaders made it a true staying contest and to get as close as he did to winning was commendable. Tipping he really pings off that run. Has more upside than these plodders.

Circuit Bets
Barood (Scone Race 2, No.14)
Suspect we’ll see a different horse this preparation. This three-year-old colt has only won one of his four starts and that was by half a length in a Canterbury maiden at $1.45. After that though he split Sir Bacchus and Denmagic and then ran fourth to River Wild. What’s really hooked The Wolf this time though is the manner in which he has trialled. He was won two Randwick hitouts with his head on his chest – beating Hooked on both occasions.

Show A Star (Caulfield Race 5, No.7)
The Wolf has got plenty of time for this high-cruising four-year-old. After being transferred from Gai Waterhouse to Matt Cumani, the result was almost instant. He looked the winner at Geelong only to be pinged on the line in the tightest of photos by Mr Pago. Turnitaround was back in third and has won twice since. Kept nice and fresh staying at the 1400m trip but he’ll still improve plenty from that fresh run.

Rich Jack (Caulfield Race 8, No.8)
Thought there was a stack of merit in Rich Jack’s first-up run. He was 275 days between runs and was only headed the final 150m. The race was won by the promising Supido. That would have blown out the cobwebs. Drops back to 1100m, much better suited around a bend and gets Gauci on board, one of the best raters of a leader in the business. He’ll give this a massive shake and the early double figure odds look generous.

2,11 / 2,3,8 / 1,2,6,8,11 / 2,4,6.

1,4 / 2,4,6,7 / 3,6,7,11 / 2,3,6,7,9.

1,3,14 / 1,2,8 / 8,9,11 / 4,8,11,14.

Got The Goss (Scone Race 8, No.9)
Deep sprint race with the Kuro, Furnaces and Inz’n’out all clashing again after less than a length separated them at Hawkesbury. All that attention at the top of the market has seen the very capable Got The Goss slip out to crazy odds at $23. He races best fresh and on firm tracks. Both boxes are ticked here. That’s A Good Idea, Furnaces, Inz’n’out and Pro Consul should ensure a genuine tempo and if they overcook things, watch for Goss to be ripping home down the middle of the long Scone straight.

Feature Racing
BTC Cup (Doomben)
The Wolf has Fell Swoop pegged to run fourth. What is his top three? Runner By Runner Guide.

Moet Champagne Classic (Doomben)
Tiyatrolani is a speed machine and has given nothing else a chance in her two wins. She’ll punch through from the inside to take up the running and if she runs 33.50s home again it’s going to take something pretty special to beat her. John O’Shea and Peter Snowden are two of the best in the business when it comes to two-year-olds and both of their gallopers Souchez and Attention have drawn nicely. Risking Winning Rupert from the draw.

South Australian Derby (Morphettville)
Charlevoix demolished his rivals at Sandown which included Cool Chap who subsequently won the VRC St Leger. The fact that Cool Chap is a second favourite here suggests it is Charlevoix’s race to lose. After Abbie Marie won the SA Oaks, it would complete an Oaks/Derby double for the flying Mick Kent stable.  The Wolf thinks the only danger comes from Tarquin whose career has been reignited post gelding.

Dark Jewel Classic (Scone)
Peace Force was The Wolf’s bolter last start and thought her boxing fourth suggested another win wasn’t far away. Want Reith to lead as she has lost any turn of foot she has with her best asset now her fight. Hetty Heights has won three from four this prep and was luckless in the miss. She drops 5kg from her Rosehill win. Danish Twist is another mare right at the top of her game who drops sharply in weight but the barrier makes it hard for her. Ammirata can bounce back.