Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 13/4/16

Horse Racing betting

Wolf’s Best
Warwick Farm Race 7 No.6 Mesa – $3.40
Although he didn’t beat much at Wyong first up, this promising Godolphin three year old made a “Mesa” of his older rivals there and if he’s gone on from that, he may well do the same in this. Ok enough of the puns because seriously, this guy has plenty of ability and it’s obvious the stable has always had a pretty good opinion of him since they did have him up and running in some key early juvenile races. He really seems to have matured and has the look of a much more complete package of a racehorse now and this will be a good test of where he stands, because I’ve got little doubt they want to take him to Brisbane and target some richer races. Expect him to come through with flying colours.

Circuit Bets
Warwick Farm Race 1 No.1 Earth – $2.40
Earth, the three-quarter brother to Australian Cup runner-up Awesome Rock, ran into a very smart filly in the shape of In The Vanguard at his debut back in February, but showed enough to suggest he’d be one to keep an eye on himself. They’ve given him 10 weeks off since that but he looked the part in a recent Rosehill trial, displaying good early speed before holding off the challengers, including that of stablemate and opponent here Prodigy, who were under more pressure than the Chris Waller trained colt. He comes up against a field now made up of either first starters or two year olds who have come out of weaker maidens than he did, and not only that, none of them exhibited the natural speed that he seems to possess. That should allow him to cross and dictate to this lot from that wide draw, and would imagine a Brisbane Carnival visit beckons if he does the job like expected here.

Ballarat Race 1 No.5 Miss Octette – $4.40
This is a pretty weak maiden and thought Miss Octette did enough first up to suggest she’d be a real threat in a race like this. She didn’t show much early speed there but was next to eventual winner and short priced favourite Groote Eylandt coming to the turn, before he was able to sprint quicker than her and put a few lengths between them quite quickly, but she held her own after that and her last 100m was particularly encouraging. She steps up another 100m here and lines up against a field that’s essentially no better than what that was, in fact the third placed horse there, Redwood Gardens, has since won his maiden in comprehensive fashion. There also seems to some more middle distance types in this so reckon she won’t be as far away from the pace this time. Keen she can shed her maiden tag.

Doomben Race 8 No.6 Sony Legend – $4.40
Sony Legend has been plying his trade in better company than this at his two runs back and his last start effort suggested that he’s getting closer to peak fitness now. Although he’s yet to start in a race longer than 1200m, his best efforts have come when he’s been able to get to the front and attempt to dictate to his rivals, so with the step up to the 1350m here, think he will be able to do that, especially with the fact that there doesn’t really seem to be much other natural speed engaged. They’ll be aggressive and no doubt look to cross from gate nine – if he gets there without spending too much petrol he can give a big kick in the straight and be very hard to run down.

 

Wolf’s Bolter
Doomben Race 7 No.6 Wisconsin – $11
Although he has previously mixed his form on occasions, Wisconsin has shown that he’s got some ability there and ended his last campaign with a dominant win in Class 2 company at Ipswich. He returns here after 8 months off but showed he’s ready to put his best foot forward when he comfortably won a recent Gold Coast trial. He’s drawn a good gate, doesn’t look to harshly treated at the weights and has opened up at double figure odds – he’s definitely worth a ticket at that price and it would be no shock to see him really put it together this campaign and perhaps get to Saturday class.

 

Quaddie

Warwick Farm
1,2,4,5,6,7/1,2,6/2,3,4,6,9,10,13,18/6

Ballarat
2,3,9/1,2,4,5,8/2,5,11/5,8

Discuss