Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 13/07/16

Horse Racing betting

Wolf’s Best
Magicus (Moonee Valley, Race 7)
Magicus is ready to win again after an encouraging return at Caulfield. This lightly-raced four-year-old made a big impression in his first campaign winning three of his four starts. His jumpouts this time around suggested he’d come back in great order. He was posted wide first-up but still boxed on bravely to run a close-up fourth. He’d have come on plenty for this second-up assignment and Craig Williams sticks.
Confidence Level:

Circuit Bets
Elusive Star (Warwick Farm, Race 2)
When most punters will be jumping off, The Wolf will be jumping on to take the $4. This three-year-old has been beaten as favourite in all three runs this preparation, starting no longer than $3.10. He looked to have every chance last start but his run peaked at the finish. Suspect he is an out and out sprinter and the 1200m is more his go. Has a big fitness edge on most of his rivals here too.
Confidence Level:

King Way (Moonee Valley, Race 4)
The Wolf thought this stayer had the Sandown race shot to bits and was amazed he didn’t get the verdict. However, he is willing to stick with him. That run over 2400m will have him nice and seasoned for the 2500m assignment at Moonee Valley. Will get his favoured wet track conditions and Craig Williams is riding like a man possessed in his chase for the jockey premiership.
Confidence Level:

Wahng Wah (Warwick Farm, Race 7)
This filly has been luckless in her two runs this time in. First-up she got a long way back before motoring to finish second to Tsaritsa before she was never in the hunt from the wide gate at Randwick. Two months between runs is not ideal but she has had two trials to tune her up again. The Wolf has it down to a race in two with Tremor the danger and quinella play.
Confidence Level:

Wolf’s Bolter
Deep Conviction (Warwick Farm, Race 5)
This gelding ran fifth last start but his run was deceptively good as he ran the best closing splits in the race. Tommy Berry lost sight of the bunny early in the race and never gave him a hope. Expect him to settle much closer from the inside gate. The Wolf has no doubt that he can turn the tables on Sniper from last start. The start prior, Deep Conviction wasn’t far away from Elemenohpee. Can win at double figure odds.
Confidence Level:

Warwick Farm
1,6,8 / 1,7,11 / 1,2,4,6 / 6,8.

Moonee Valley
1,2,4,6 / 7 / 2,5 / 1,4,6,12.

1,2,4 / 1,4 / 1,2,5,7,14 / 2,5.

Feature Races
Ramornie Handicap (Grafton)
Big Money lumps the top weight of 59kg but he has already won a Ramornie and regular jockey Robert Thompson has already ridden four winners of this winter feature sprint race. Ran sixth in the G1 Goodwood before a forgettable 12th in the Stradbroke on an awful Eagle Farm track. The wetter the better for Mount Nebo while veteran Decision Time was excellent last start. What to do with Mogador? What you do every start. Bet around him. Big Money to win.