Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 13/02/16

Horse Racing betting

Wolf’s Best
Caulfield Race 2, No.2 Risque
Banking on this Ex-Kiwi filly simply being too good for this field on her Aussie debut for Hayes/Dabernig. The last time she was sighted she won the G1 1000 Guineas in NZ, and did it easily. The noises coming from her new stable suggest she’s capable of making it through to Group One company. If that’s the case, she’d wanting to be winning this. Mossin’ Around and Cana won’t lie down but she should be a class above.

Circuit Bets
Caulfield Race 5, No.11 Heatherly
Eclair Choice, Kuro, Politeness… there’s plenty of quality in the G2 Rubiton Stakes this year but none of them have the fitness base of Heatherly. While plenty of her rivals will likely need to run with bigger fish to fry over the carnival, Heatherly is already four runs in and is showing no signs of training off. Her effort to hold on down the straight last start when drawn the wrong side of the track was full of merit. Down on 51kg with noted front-running jockey Katie Mallyon in the saddle she’ll take plenty of catching.

Randwick Race 1, No.2 Telperion
Was sent around favourite on debut and despite leading up and giving a kick for home, was reeled in by Yankee Rose and Faraway Town. No shame in that. Was tipped out after that effort and his recent trial, when settling back in the field and rattling home under a hold, was very encouraging. Expect him to take a sit today and finish off with much more gusto. Worth another chance against a pretty moderate bunch.

Randwick Race 9, No.7 Le Cordon Bleu
There looks to be good speed with Religify, War Jet, El Sasso, Meursault and Metallic Crown all wanting to be handy. That sets it up for Le Cordon Bleu to stalk to speed from barrier 3 and pop out in the straight. Two back he was unlucky behind Start Wondering and Paceman, which stacks up well for this. Then last start he zoomed home at the Gold Coast finding the track to tight and the 1100m too short. Perfect race for him today.

Quaddie
Caulfield
1,4,5 /3,4,7,12,13 / 5,6,7 /1,5,9.

Randwick
2,7,8 / 2,8,10 /1,2,6 / 3,5,7,15.

Bolter
Caulfield Race 6, No.5 Devil Hawk
This brother to Hawkspur has been gelded so don’t be surprised if he jumps out of the ground fresh over 1400m. Was a bit hit-and-miss last time we saw him but he was impressive fresh beating Metallic Crown by a space when last to first. Has jumped out down the straight to tune up for this and he looked very strong through the line. It’s a deep edition of the G2 Autumn Stakes but if Mahuta and Holler cut each other up in front, Devil Hawk might surprise at $51!

Get Out Stakes
Caulfield Race 9, No.1 Wawail
Carries the top weight of 58kg first-up but she’s a pretty classy mare. And her best quality is her fight. Had no luck first-up in the spring before running a mighty race against Politeness this track and trip. She would have won if she didn’t wobble down the straight. That Politeness form is obviously strong. Jumped out nicely recently at Flemington too.

Feature Racing
Orr Stakes (Caulfield)
The Wolf has cranked up his Runner By Runner guides again for the autumn carnival. Read his Orr Stakes edition here.

Blue Diamond Prelude – Fillies (Caulfield)
There’s one filly in this field with x-factor and that’s Calliope. Put the writing on the wall before the Gimcrack at the trials and despite missing the kick on debut she rattled home down the outside to post an impressive win. The form out of the race has proven solid since. Drawn perfectly in barrier 5, she’ll take plenty of beating here and stake her Blue Diamond claims. Hard to knock the winning form of Sword Of Light while Dream First looks a likely type.

Blue Diamond Prelude – Cols & Geldings (Caulfield)
Flying Artie heads the markets but he carries a big boom and maps to give a start to his rivals. The runner The Wolf has zoned in on his Team Hawkes’ colt Star Turn. Did too much wrong on debut before amending his manners and proving far too good at Randwick. Has had a trial in Sydney and a Flemington jumpout to tune up for this.

Southern Cross Stakes (Randwick)
Rich Enuff, now with the Snowdens, holds the key to this race. Should get all favours out in front here as the tactics for Vashka are generally a little more conservative first-up. Rich Enuff has trialled nicely and if he can rediscover his three-year-old form, he’s the one to beat here. Monitor market moves for him. Outside of Rich Enuff, the danger looks to be Generalife in the royal blue, who is rarely far away but also rarely wins.

 

 

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