Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 12/2/16

Horse Racing betting

Wolf’s Best
Canterbury Race 3 No.3 Tower Of Song – $3.80
He’s turned into a model of consistency this time in Tower Of Song, he’s last two wins have been strong, and he’s had to do the job under different circumstances on each occasion. He goes up again in grade for this but, apart from Rhodin Drive and Fira, most of these are extremely limited, and those two have been disappointing on a few occasions, whereas Tower Of Song just looks a horse that’s going to go further than this sort of company. Bowman sticks from his last win, he draws nicely and can be parked wherever Hugh wants to have him in the run and if anything Canterbury may suit him the most out of any of the metro circuits – he should win and win well.

Circuit Bets
Canterbury Race 4 No.3 Top Score – $3
If you backed Top Score three Saturday’s ago there’s no doubt you’d be disappointed, but in order to get some back with him you have to forgive – trust me, it’s a punter’s best friend. As soon as Tommy Berry went for him he just couldn’t get a handle on that heavy surface and the wheels were spinning. The form out of the race looks pretty good though too, the winner Le Romain came out last week and ran a nice second to Spill The Beans in the Group 3 Eskimo Prince Stakes, and runner-up Deploy tried hard during the week behind the smart Southern Legend. This guy has got some talent and back on a firmer track in this, he’ll prove extremely hard to beat.

Canterbury Race 7 No.3 Daisy Duke – $4.80
Daisy Duke comes out of maiden grade to take on a 72 rater here, but absolutely love what we’ve seen from her this prep in both that win and the trial leading into it and she seems to have returned a much stronger individual now that she’s a mare. There’s a couple of others here that have a good talent level including stakes placed filly Ocean Tempest and Ravi from the Snowden camp – but neither have had a run this time in and neither is particularly well weighted considering they are both three year olds that are yet to win a race out of maiden grade. Daisy Duke has the jump on them fitness wise and at the weights, and that will prove to be the difference in the end.

Moonee Valley Race 3 No.4 Tempered – $11
Tempered was a bit stiff at Caulfield on Australia Day behind Hardern, through no fault of his own, Damien Lane just didn’t get out exactly when he wanted to and it cost him being right in the finish. He now lines up in a race that’s certainly no harder than that, and one that, at least on paper, doesn’t contain much pace. That could play right into Tempered’s hands, because as we know already from his Sandown win three starts back, he’s quite capable of dictating from the front and performing well. In all honesty think a mile is his max distance, but he only needs things to pan out speed wise for him here to be going very close.

Moonee Valley Race 6 No.7 Fast Cash – $4.80
After looking like a big time talent early on in his career, it’s probably fair to say that Fast Cash hasn’t quite lived up to those expectations. Although he didn’t win last prep, he did perform well in some pretty good form races including placings behind the likes of Armada, Malaguerra, and Durendal. They’ve never quite figured out what the best plan of attack is with this horse and he’s often been ridden in varying manners throughout his race career – personally think the best way to have him perform at his optimum is to keep him fresh and keep him to sprint trips, no more than the six furlongs he has to deal with here. He has got a good burst on him if he can be held up long enough and he looks to get a soft run in this behind what appears to be a race with plenty of speed on. We might see the best of him now.

Coffs Harbour Race 7 No.4 Ocean Grand – $2
Ocean Grand is eligible for a lot easier races than this open handicap, he’s only won two compared to several of his rivals here who are nudging or gone past double figure victories. But it doesn’t take away from the fact that he’s ceiling is much higher than theirs and he really only has to race to his best to be winning this. Two starts back he had to fight hard to come away with a Class 2 Highway Handicap in town, beating up and coming country sprinter Clearly Innocent. He failed in a similar race next start, but you can put that down to the track condition – he clearly didn’t appreciate the shifty surface. He draws to get a perfect run here and all things being equal he should bounce back accordingly.

Wolf’s┬áBolter
Wagga Race 7 No.5 Steakandbernaise – $14
After running a great third in town at the end of his campaign two preps ago, you thought Steakandbernaise was going to make a nice country cups type miler/middle distance type, and a horse that was certainly going to win his fair share of races. But his four start prep during the middle of last year was average to say the least. He’s a six year old gelding who’s only had the 14 starts so it’s not like they could retire him, so he was sent out for spell and, judging by his solid second up effort, he’s come back in better order this time in, and he’s definitely got the ability to win a race like the one he lines up in here. Draws the fence, not badly in – if he’s come back to anywhere near best we’ll find out in this.

Quaddie

Canterbury
3,4/3,5,8,9/1,6,8,11,12/2,3,4

Moonee Valley
1,5,10/5,7,10/1,3,7/4,6,9

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