Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 12/03/16

Horse Racing betting

Wolf’s Best
Old North (Rosehill Race 6, No.5)
A colt on a very steep upward spiral. This three-year-old son of Lonhro jumped out of the ground first-up at Warwick Farm to win running away. He lumped 60.5kg and gave many of his rivals a start. It was a midweek meeting but what The Wolf saw was a coming Group winner over the carnival. This looks a perfect assignment for him now. Drawn to get a perfect midfield trail and explode home over the top again. Torgesen and Sacred Eye are not easy-beats but suspect we’ve already seen the best of what they have to offer.

Circuit Bets
Stratum Star (Flemington Race 4, No.2)
Looks his race to lose on paper. Beat all bar Turn Me Loose in the G1 Futurity. Won the Rupert Clarke third-up over the spring and is trending exactly the same way here. His Flemington mile form reads a narrow second to Kermadec and a third in the Australian Guineas. The United States was very good in the Futurity too and not only gets the blinkers first time but also the services of Hugh Bowman. He won’t get the same speed on here though.

Rock Sturdy (Rosehill Race 8, No.6)
This five-year-old was enormous first-up behind Charlie Boy, defying the fence bias to hit the line like a steam train. There is a lack of speed in the Ajax Stakes this year so don’t be surprised to see Jason Collett have him right up on the speed. Went past Good Project in the Liverpool City Cup and he looks the next best in the race. Don’t forget Rock Sturdy ran third to Turn Me Loose in the Emirates last spring. He’s a top quality galloper. A win here exempts him from Doncaster Handicap ballot.

Miss Rose De Lago (Flemington Race 8, No.2)
Was very brave first-up and was only bloused late by Azkadellia, who runs around in Sydney as one of the favourites in the G1 Coolmore, and the flying Tuscan Sling. Strips fitter for that second-up and her runs at Flemington have been much better than her dismal record suggests (5:0-1-0). Damien Oliver will carve across to lead from the wide gate and give another huge sight. Noble Protector is the classiest runner in the race but she was horrific in the spring. Impossible to have any confidence she’ll return to her best here.

horse racing offer

Quaddie
Flemington
1,6 / 2,5,6 / 1,2,12 / 1,6,7,8.

Rosehill
3,5 / 1,7,9,12 / 4,5,6,7 / 2,8,11.

Bolter
Lady Le Fay (Rosehill Race 9, No.2)
One to keep in the top pocket for the lucky last Rosehill. This former Kiwi got close to Good Project on her debut for Chris Waller before she bled at her next outing. Has had two very quiet trials for this first-up assignment and The Wolf loves being on bleeders fresh. Tipping she’s tuned up to run a big race here. Has a big weight but the gate should see her be smothered up and use no petrol in the run. Will just need the breaks at the right time.

Feature Racing
Australian Cup (Flemington)
The Wolf is confident that the Peter Young form is the right form for the Australian Cup. Runner by Runner guide.

Newmarket Handicap (Flemington)
Who will roll Chautauqua in the Newmarket? Get The Wolf’s thoughts on every runner.

Coolmore Classic (Rosehill)
Azkadellia to beat Ghisoni and Lucia Valentina. Read The Wolf’s full Runner By Runner guide.

Sires’ Produce Stakes (Flemington)
One of the most fascinating races of the day with so many different form lines. Revolving Door and Seaburge clashed in a high-quality midweeker. They are two classy colts. Convinced Seaburge is a top-liner in the making. It’s just whether it happens this campaign. Tassie filly Hot Dipped has won her three races by a combined margin of 13L and her times suggest she’ll measure right up here. Throw in Detective who has three seconds in three starts but has met Capitalist, French Fern and Kiss And Make Up! After all that, want to be on Detective at the early $6.

 

 

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