Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 11/06/16

Horse Racing betting

Wolf’s Best
Tsaritsa (Eagle Farm Race 4, No.17)
The Wolf is still riding the Tsaritsa wave. The Wolf declared this filly at Rosehill last start and she overcame a slow speed to rip home in blistering sectionals. She now steps up to Group Two company but she’s no doubt up to it. Wouldn’t be surprised if she lined up in the Tiara if she gives this a shake as expected. Will be allowed to find her feet with the Magic Man steering before being let loose down the outside of the long Eagle Farm straight.
Confidence Level:

Circuit Bets
Distraught (Randwick Race 2, No.5)
Like the way this mare is tracking this preparation. Her win two back at Newcastle was full of merit as she chased down a rock-hard fit leader on a bias track. She then gave a sight at Rosehill only to be run down by Pindan Pearl who has since run well again. She’s screwed right down now fourth-up so expect her to take running down again, especially from the inside draw. Elle Lou and Pioneering will be charging late but hoping the bird has already flown.
Confidence Level:

Invincibella (Eagle Farm Race 1, No.13)
She’s a good filly this. Don’t be fooled by her still being a maiden. First-up she just missed to Skylight Glow, who has since won again, in good time compared to the boys on the same day. She was then one of the best things beaten you’ve ever seen at Canterbury behind a smart one in Blowing Kisses. Should have won, and won easily after being held up on the fence. Hugh Bowman takes over for this and from barrier 4, should box seat,
Confidence Level:

Bullpit (Flemington Race 8, No,6)
This four-year-old is really humming at the moment. He loves the straight and 1000m is his best trip. He gave plenty of cheek last start in the Straight Six but faded late as he doesn’t quite get 1200m. Before that over this track and trip he was 0.6L from Supido who went on to place in the Goodwood behind Straddie fancies Black Heart Bart and Under The Louvre. This is very winnable for him so the each-way odds appeal.
Confidence Level:

Eagle Farm
2,3,9,16 /1,3,6,7,13 / 1,3,4,5,15 / 2,4,12,19.

1,4,5,9 / 1,7 / 3,4,11,15 / 6,8,12.

6,8,14 / 1,3,12,14 /1,6,10 / 4,5,6,9,11.

Pajaro (Eagle Farm Race 2, No.11)
For a $9.50 chance, this gelding hasn’t done much wrong. Bursted through to win the Scone Cup two back before a brilliant Blake Shinn ride saw him find the fast lane at Doomben for the Lord Mays Cup at WFA, flashing home to run second to Mighty Lucky. Much better suited back to handicap conditions here and drawn in 7, he should get every hope. Religify looks hard to beat but he’s untried at the mile.
Confidence Level:

Feature Races
Stradbroke Handicap (Eagle Farm)
To back or lay Azkadellia? Get The Wolf’s Runner By Runner rundown.

Queensland Oaks (Eagle Farm)
This race really changes complexion from last week when it was set to be run on a bog. The Kiwi filly Provocative makes the field and goes in on top. Sofia Rosa and Tavago showed over the Sydney autumn that those from across the ditch really know how to raise young stayers. The barrier not ideal though. The Wolf liked Chabaud last week on a wet track and although dry now, he isn’t going to discount her chances. Don’t like The Roses form but have to respect Imposing Lass and Falkenberg.

Queensland Derby (Eagle Farm)
The Grand Prix looks the best form reference. Mackintosh scrambled home in that race but he wasn’t exactly powering though the line and had the on-pace fast lane to help him home too. Howard Be Thy Name finished right on his heels and we know he loves the extra trip. Three of past four QLD Derbys have been won by Victorian trainers too (Brambles, Sonntag and Magicool). So extra tick for the DK Weir warrior. Eschiele was the luckless runner and looks a big hope. But The Wolf loved the Derby trial of local hope Eagle Way. He’s on top.

JJ Atkins (Eagle Farm)
Different to the QLD Derby, the JJ Atkins has been dominanted by NSW-trained runners recently boasting nine winners from the past 12 editions. Kiwi Sacred Elixir and local Candika were the two with the flashing lights on their heads after the logical leadup the Sires Produce. Souchez missed the kick there and after getting on his bike early, peaked late. Can win with a clean getaway. Attention won the Sires and has the best two-year-old stable in the country preparing him. Don’t ignore the obvious.