Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 07/09/16

Horse Racing betting

Wolf’s Best
Rosa Carolina (Canterbury, Race 3)
Rosa Carolina impressed The Wolf on her Aussie debut. This Savabeel filly stepped out at Gosford for Kris Lees, having had her first two runs in New Zealand, and she won stylishly from the front. Now that the maiden is out of the way, expect her to roll through the grades. There’s plenty of depth to this field but the majority are looking for a mile and beyond. Tipping she’ll prove too sharp with Brenton Avdulla steering.
Double Down: She should prove too nippy for most of these so want to see Avdulla park her outside the likely leader Purrari.
Confidence Level:
4-Chips

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Circuit Bets
California Elite (Canterbury, Race 4)
This colt in the Snowden yard has his hoof on the till. He laboured in the wet on debut at Warwick Farm but still tried his guts out to hold third behind Pound Sterling. He was then nabbed on the post at Gosford by Kings Of Leon. He is right at his top now and if Kerrin McEvoy can shoot him across from the wide gate, he’ll take plenty of running down. Still need to be convinced about Pewter and Missile Strike while race favourite Invincabella gives away the fitness edge.
Double Down: Big opportunity here to Double Down if McEvoy can get across without spending too much early petrol.
Confidence Level:
3-5-Chips

Shillelagh (Sandown, Race 5)
Most punters know her as the travel companion of Xtravagant but she’s a very good mare in her own right. She has won four from six and despite being by Savabeel, three of those wins have been over 1200m which she faces here. She is a few months between runs but loved the way she worked through the line in a recent Flemington jumpout. Damien Oliver rode her there and the champion hoop sticks here. Likely to play a role over the spring.
Double Down: Showed good speed in her jumpout but above all else, want to see her settle in the run and not be too fresh.
Confidence Level:
4-Chips

Demonstrate (Sandown, Race 6)
The Godolphin army were out in force over the weekend and The Wolf expects Demonstrate to keep the good times rolling. He drops sharply back in grade to kick off his spring, presumably to get his confidence up. Has only won two from 16 but has run some massive races including first-up last preparation when second at The Valley behind Stellar Collision. He launched late from last to just miss. Lucky Liberty is classy too but resumes off near two years off. Expect him to be ring rusty.
Double Down: He is a horse that likes some room so want to see Craig Williams settle him a couple back, away from the fence.
Confidence Level:
4-Chips

Wolf’s Bolter
Secret Prophet (Sandown, Race 8)
This four-year-old didn’t go a yard in the wet first-up at Canterbury. The Wolf is being very forgiving when assessing his chances at Sandown back on a dry track. He has plenty of Melbourne form so that won’t play a factor – including a fourth behind Palentino at Flemington. More recently, he has a third to black-type gelding Handfast. That all stacks up very nicely for a $9.50 shot on a Wednesday. The Hawkes stable is flying too.
Double Down: Drawn the middle so Dwayne Dunn shouldn’t have too much trouble settling him close to the speed. Every chance from there.
Confidence Level:
2-5-Chips

Quaddies
Sandown
3,5 / 1 / 4,5,12 / 5,6,8,14.

Canterbury
1,10 / 1,5 / 3,7 / 1,3,11.

 

 

 

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