Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 06/08/16

Horse Racing betting

The Wolf’s Saturday horse racing tips cover the meetings at Flemington, Randwick and Morphettville.

Wolf’s Best

Decorated Solider (Flemington Race 2, No.5)
Decorated Soldier has been mixing it with some very handy youngsters in Sydney. This three-year-old in the powerful Snowden stable won convincingly on debut at the provincials before finishing fourth at Canterbury behind Tango Rain, Thronum and Hair Trigger. His run there suggested he wants 1400m and a big track now. Gets both of those things at Flemington. The Snowdens are brilliant at placing their horses and looks to have found a perfect assignment for this colt. It looks a pretty ordinary bunch of Victorians.
Confidence Level:
4-Chips

Circuit Bets

Mediterranean (Randwick Race 6, No.3)
Tipping a fruitful Saturday for the Snowden/Harron combo. After Decorated Soldier, this Smart Missile colt should make it a double. Mediterranean trialled brilliantly before kicking off his spring and brought that form the Canterbury, and on a wet track. McEvoy rode him arrogantly trucking up early to keep him out of trouble and he put his rivals to the sword. This is harder but he’s a very classy individual.
Confidence Level:
4-5-Chips

Pilote D’Essai (Flemington Race 5, No.11)
Like most punters, The Wolf liked what he saw from this import on his Aussie debut at Bendigo. He’s three from three fresh, has been gelded and looks very dangerously weighted with 54kg on his back. He’s won four of his seven starts and although it’s hard to predict where he’ll end up come the spring carnival, there’s little doubt that it’ll be in better races than this. Can make a winning return.
Confidence Level:
3-Chips

Burning Passion (Randwick Race 9, No.2)
No Chetwood, Haptic or Cannyescent makes Burning Passion a good thing. Willing to take the short odds. James Cummings has really found the trick to him, keeping him fresh and trialling in between races. He couldn’t have been much more impressive on a heavy track at Randwick last start. He’s fit, flying and after the key scratchings doesn’t have much for competition.
Confidence Level:
4-5-Chips

Bolter

Tree Of Jesse (Randwick Race 8, No.4)
Not much of a bolter now with the scratchings of Dixie Blossoms and Tremor, but we’ll stick with her. Tree Of Jesse was awful first-up but it was too bad to be true. Forgive her that. She’s also more dynamic when ridden back in the field. Her trial since suggests she is back on track. From the wide barrier, she’ll be rushing home. Not at the double figure odds when markets first went up but still at an each-way price.

3-Chips

Quaddies

Flemington
5,8,14,17 / 1,2,4 / 1,3,5,10 / 2,3,11,17.

Randwick
3 / 2,5,8,10 / 4,11 / 2.

Feature Races

Aurie’s Star Handicap (Flemington)
Smart Volatility, Mighty Like and Ruetigger all come off last start wins and shape as the key contenders for the Aurie. Mighty Like sprinted brilliantly fresh down the straight and his second-up record (4:2-0-0) is almost as impressive as his first-up record. Some query staying at 1200m. Ruettiger is very consistent but at $4, The Wolf is willing to bet around him. Ex-Hong Kong galloper Smart Volatility was a brave winner of the Ramornie Handicap and his recent trial suggests he has come on further. He’s the one to beat. Don’t write off Dibayani up the top either.

Missile Stakes (Randwick)
Golden Slipper winner Capitalist had a stranglehold on the betting but his scratching now leaves Rebel Dane the short priced favourite. The Wolf couldn’t possibly have him at $1.65 in any race so is look at the race fit Mount Nebo to score an opportunistic Group Two win. He’s rock-hard fit, loves the wet and his recent fifth to the speedster Redzel was much better than it reads.

Spring Stakes (Morphettville)
Firstly, where is Happy Trails? He’s used this race as his spring kick-off the last four years. Anyways, now to find this year’s winner. Beirut has become a winning speed machine recently, extending her streak to four at Caulfield. This is much harder though so as fave, The Wolf is willing to bet around her. Local hope Cavaloce is flying this time in with a new stable. She’s worth a play in this.

Discuss